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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Karlsruhe

U S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Hamburg

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 52%

39%

65%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

32% Possession 68%

15 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Karlsruhe 9. · Hamburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	24	14	7	3	+17	49
2	Hamburg	23	15	3	5	+18	48
3	Heidenheim	24	13	8	3	+20	47
4	Paderborn	24	12	4	8	+18	40
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	12	3	9	+8	39
6	Kaiserslautern	24	10	9	5	+7	39
7	St Pauli	24	10	8	6	+6	38
8	Holstein Kiel	23	8	9	6	+2	33
9	Karlsruhe	23	9	4	10	+2	31
10	Hannover	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Magdeburg	24	8	4	12	-11	28
12	Nurnberg	24	8	4	12	-15	28
13	Greuther Furth	24	6	9	9	-7	27
14	Bielefeld	24	7	3	14	-5	24
15	Hansa Rostock	23	7	3	13	-13	24
16	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-14	22
17	Sandhausen	24	5	6	13	-17	21
18	Regensburg	23	5	5	13	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	12	9	3	0	+19	30
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	2	2	+14	26
3	Darmstadt	12	7	5	0	+12	26
4	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+12	26
5	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
7	Greuther Furth	12	5	6	1	+3	21
8	Kaiserslautern	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Nurnberg	12	6	1	5	+0	19
10	Hannover	11	5	2	4	+2	17
11	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+0	17
12	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	+4	16
13	Bielefeld	12	5	0	7	+1	15
14	Braunschweig	12	4	3	5	+0	15
15	Regensburg	12	3	5	4	-7	14
16	Magdeburg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-7	12
18	Hansa Rostock	12	3	1	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+7	23
2	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Kaiserslautern	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+1	17
5	Holstein Kiel	12	4	5	3	-2	17
6	Paderborn	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Magdeburg	12	5	1	6	-5	16
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	+2	14
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	1	7	-6	13
12	St Pauli	12	3	3	6	-6	12
13	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
14	Sandhausen	13	2	3	8	-10	9
15	Nurnberg	12	2	3	7	-15	9
16	Braunschweig	12	1	4	7	-14	7
17	Greuther Furth	12	1	3	8	-10	6
18	Regensburg	11	2	0	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.