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Serie B

Referee: G Camplone

Genoa

S U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Ternana

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

36%

54%

Both score Ø 41%

36%

46%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 10

2 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 2. · Ternana 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	29	19	5	5	+30	62
2	Genoa	28	14	9	5	+16	51
3	Bari	29	13	11	5	+18	50
4	Sudtirol	29	12	12	5	+4	48
5	Pisa	29	10	12	7	+11	42
6	Reggina	28	13	3	12	+8	42
7	Cagliari	29	10	12	7	+5	42
8	Parma	29	11	8	10	+4	41
9	Palermo	29	9	12	8	-2	39
10	Modena	29	11	5	13	+1	38
11	Como	29	8	12	9	-3	36
12	Ascoli	29	9	9	11	-5	36
13	Ternana	28	9	9	10	-7	36
14	Cittadella	29	8	11	10	-9	35
15	Perugia	28	8	6	14	-4	30
16	Venezia	29	7	9	13	-9	30
17	Benevento	29	6	11	12	-8	29
18	Spal	28	6	10	12	-8	28
19	Brescia	29	6	10	13	-18	28
20	Cosenza	28	6	8	14	-24	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	14	11	2	1	+20	35
2	Cagliari	15	9	4	2	+9	31
3	Genoa	14	7	6	1	+13	27
4	Reggina	14	7	2	5	+8	23
5	Parma	15	7	2	6	+5	23
6	Palermo	14	6	5	3	+4	23
7	Ternana	14	6	5	3	+3	23
8	Sudtirol	15	5	8	2	+2	23
9	Bari	15	5	7	3	+8	22
10	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+8	22
11	Modena	14	6	4	4	+7	22
12	Como	14	6	4	4	+4	22
13	Cosenza	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Perugia	13	5	4	4	+3	19
15	Cittadella	14	4	7	3	-1	19
16	Brescia	15	4	5	6	-4	17
17	Spal	15	4	4	7	-1	16
18	Ascoli	14	3	5	6	-4	14
19	Venezia	15	3	5	7	-6	14
20	Benevento	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Frosinone	15	8	3	4	+10	27
3	Sudtirol	14	7	4	3	+2	25
4	Genoa	14	7	3	4	+3	24
5	Ascoli	15	6	4	5	-1	22
6	Pisa	15	4	8	3	+3	20
7	Reggina	14	6	1	7	+0	19
8	Parma	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Benevento	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Venezia	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Palermo	15	3	7	5	-6	16
12	Modena	15	5	1	9	-6	16
13	Cittadella	15	4	4	7	-8	16
14	Como	15	2	8	5	-7	14
15	Ternana	14	3	4	7	-10	13
16	Spal	13	2	6	5	-7	12
17	Cagliari	14	1	8	5	-4	11
18	Perugia	15	3	2	10	-7	11
19	Brescia	14	2	5	7	-14	11
20	Cosenza	14	1	3	10	-25	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.