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OBOS-ligaen
Moss
S U T T T
2–4
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 37%
28%
46%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
76%
79%
Both score Ø 72%
64%
79%
Average goals
3,6
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Kongsvinger 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 26 21 5 0 +57 68
2 Start 25 13 5 7 +18 44
3 Lyn 26 13 5 8 +12 44
4 Aalesund 23 11 8 4 +15 41
5 Kongsvinger 24 11 8 5 +12 41
6 Egersund 23 10 6 7 +5 36
7 Sogndal 25 10 6 9 +0 36
8 Ranheim 24 10 5 9 -8 35
9 Odd 25 8 7 10 -1 31
10 hodd 25 8 6 11 -13 30
11 Asane 25 7 7 11 -10 28
12 Raufoss 25 6 8 11 -9 26
13 Moss 25 7 5 13 -19 26
14 Stabaek 25 5 10 10 -4 25
15 Mjondalen 24 4 6 14 -27 18
16 Skeid 26 1 9 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Kongsvinger
1–0 T. Jakobsen
7′
12′
J. Grundt 1–1
17′
N. Williams 1–2
D. Lysgard
L. Rossi 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–2
A. A. Engesvik 🔁
↦ P. Andersen
46′
N. Fuglestad 🔁
↦ T. Jakobsen
46′
59′
🔁 M. Flores
↦ N. Williams
59′
🔁 M. Gjerstrom
↦ D. Lysgard
J. Musbaudeen 🟨
60′
62′
M. Flores 1–3
J. Grundt
A. Memedov 🔁
↦ L. Rossi
64′
71′
L. Haren 1–4
W. Kvale 🔁
↦ J. Barros
72′
76′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ L. Langrekken
2–4 S. Gronli
A. A. Engesvik
82′
84′
🟨 F. Christensen
M. Afonso 🔁
↦ J. Musbaudeen
89′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
6 M. Lassen
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
23 J. Barros
17 P. Andersen
8 H. Vold Krohg
9 J. Musbaudeen
21 S. Gronli
11 T. Jakobsen
47 L. Rossi
Bench (9)
12 J. Sundling
5 E. Race
15 A. A. Engesvik
19 A. Memedov
24 M. Welinder
29 M. Mayonga
34 N. Fuglestad
46 W. Kvale
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
21 D. Lysgard
5 F. Holme
29 S. Norheim
19 E. Nielsen
8 J. Grundt
14 F. Christensen
27 A. Dybevik
9 L. Haren
22 L. Langrekken
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
3 P. Fjellman
12 M. Mbow
13 M. Flores
15 V. Lysell
17 M. Gjerstrom
18 J. Holtan
28 R. Christiansen
67 L. Sethi

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.