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Premiership

Referee: C Napier

Kilmarnock

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

St Mirren

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 20/18 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 8. · St Mirren 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	22	20	2	0	+52	62
2	Celtic	19	13	4	2	+30	43
3	Aberdeen	19	11	5	3	+9	38
4	Hibernian	21	10	6	5	+10	36
5	Dundee United	21	6	7	8	-10	25
6	Livingston	19	7	3	9	-4	24
7	St Mirren	18	6	3	9	-7	21
8	Kilmarnock	20	6	2	12	-4	20
9	ST Johnstone	22	4	7	11	-12	19
10	Motherwell	19	4	5	10	-11	17
11	Ross County	22	4	5	13	-26	17
12	Hamilton	20	4	3	13	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	11	11	0	0	+32	33
2	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Aberdeen	10	7	1	2	+6	22
4	Dundee United	11	4	3	4	+1	15
5	Hibernian	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Kilmarnock	9	3	1	5	+1	10
7	Livingston	9	3	1	5	-4	10
8	St Mirren	9	2	3	4	-5	9
9	ST Johnstone	11	2	3	6	-7	9
10	Motherwell	11	2	2	7	-10	8
11	Ross County	11	1	4	6	-16	7
12	Hamilton	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	11	9	2	0	+20	29
2	Hibernian	11	7	1	3	+10	22
3	Celtic	10	6	3	1	+14	21
4	Aberdeen	9	4	4	1	+3	16
5	Livingston	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	St Mirren	9	4	0	5	-2	12
7	ST Johnstone	11	2	4	5	-5	10
8	Kilmarnock	11	3	1	7	-5	10
9	Ross County	11	3	1	7	-10	10
10	Dundee United	10	2	4	4	-11	10
11	Hamilton	10	3	1	6	-13	10
12	Motherwell	8	2	3	3	-1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.