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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Real Madrid

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Celta

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Celta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	11	2	1	+22	35
2	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+13	33
3	Sociedad	17	8	5	4	+14	29
4	Villarreal	17	7	8	2	+5	29
5	Sevilla	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Barcelona	15	7	4	4	+14	25
7	Granada	15	7	3	5	-4	24
8	Celta	16	6	5	5	+0	23
9	Betis	17	6	2	9	-11	20
10	Cadiz	16	5	4	7	-9	19
11	Ath Bilbao	16	5	3	8	-1	18
12	Levante	16	4	6	6	-2	18
13	Alaves	16	4	6	6	-4	18
14	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-8	18
15	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
16	Elche	14	3	7	4	-4	16
17	Eibar	16	3	7	6	-4	16
18	Valencia	16	3	6	7	-2	15
19	Osasuna	15	3	4	8	-10	13
20	Huesca	16	1	9	6	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Granada	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+8	15
6	Celta	8	5	0	3	+2	15
7	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Sociedad	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Ath Bilbao	7	4	0	3	+5	12
10	Levante	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Valencia	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Elche	8	1	5	2	-3	8
17	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Huesca	7	1	4	2	-2	7
19	Cadiz	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Eibar	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Cadiz	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	-2	10
8	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
10	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Celta	8	1	5	2	-2	8
12	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+3	7
14	Granada	7	2	1	4	-9	7
15	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Levante	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.