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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hamilton
T S T T U
3–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 21%
20%
21%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 39%
45%
32%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Motherwell 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 22 20 2 0 +52 62
2 Celtic 19 13 4 2 +30 43
3 Aberdeen 19 11 5 3 +9 38
4 Hibernian 21 10 6 5 +10 36
5 Dundee United 21 6 7 8 -10 25
6 Livingston 19 7 3 9 -4 24
7 St Mirren 18 6 3 9 -7 21
8 Kilmarnock 20 6 2 12 -4 20
9 ST Johnstone 22 4 7 11 -12 19
10 Motherwell 19 4 5 10 -11 17
11 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -26 17
12 Hamilton 20 4 3 13 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -20 Motherwell – Hamilton 0–1 22. Feb -20 Hamilton – Motherwell 0–0 29. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hamilton 1–2 24. Aug -19 Hamilton – Motherwell 1–3

Match report

Hamilton Motherwell
1–0 L. Hodson ⚽
A. Winter
10′
G. Stanger 🔁
↦ B. Easton
21′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Callachan ⚽
D. Moyo
49′
55′
🔁 J. White
↦ D. Cole
C. Smith 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
59′
61′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
3–0 C. Smith ⚽
R. Callachan
65′
66′
🔁 B. Maguire
↦ J. Hastie
K. Munro 🔁
↦ A. Winter
82′
C. Trafford 🔁
↦ R. Callachan
83′
Scott McMann 🟨
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hamilton

5-3-2
22 K. Gourlay G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson D
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin M
4 B. Stirling M
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan M
20 D. Moyo F
19 A. Winter F
Bench (9)
17 G. Stanger
32 C. Smith
21 K. Munro
14 C. Trafford
15 R. Hughes
41 R. Scully
18 R. Mimnaugh
37 J. Johnson
36 T. Owolabi

Coach: B. Rice

Motherwell

4-3-3
34 A. Chapman G
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
2 L. Grimshaw M
16 B. Mugabi D
19 L. Polworth M
6 A. Campbell M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
11 J. Hastie F
Bench (9)
9 J. White
15 B. Maguire
5 N. McGinley
27 M. Johnston
24 D. Devine
23 P. Morrison
8 R. Crawford
17 S. Seedorf
26 D. Cornelius

Coach: K. Lasley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,30
🔒
U
3,78
🔒
B
1,77
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,86
🔒
U2,5
1,94
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.