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Süper Lig
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Besiktas
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 67%
71%
62%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
68%
66%
Both score Ø 55%
54%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
17 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 1. · Fenerbahce 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 28 20 3 5 +33 63
2 Galatasaray 30 19 4 7 +34 61
3 Fenerbahce 29 18 4 7 +23 58
4 Trabzonspor 30 16 7 7 +9 55
5 Alanyaspor 30 14 7 9 +19 49
6 Gaziantep 30 12 11 7 +10 47
7 Hatayspor 29 13 7 9 +12 46
8 Karagumruk 30 12 8 10 +8 44
9 Sivasspor 29 9 13 7 +2 40
10 Goztep 30 10 9 11 +2 39
11 Antalyaspor 30 8 15 7 -7 39
12 Konyaspor 29 9 9 11 +0 36
13 Rizespor 29 8 10 11 -11 34
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 7 11 11 -4 32
15 Kasimpasa 30 8 7 15 -14 31
16 Kayserispor 29 8 7 14 -16 31
17 Buyuksehyr 30 7 9 14 -16 30
18 Ankaragücü 29 8 5 16 -14 29
19 Erzurumspor 30 6 9 15 -21 27
20 Genclerbirligi 29 7 6 16 -25 27
21 Denizlispor 29 6 7 16 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Fenerbahce
31′
🟨 Mbwana Samatta
Cyle Larin 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Enner Valencia
1–0 D. Vida
R. Ghezzal
48′
58′
🟨 Serdar Aziz
58′
🔁 J. Sosa
↦ İ. Kahveci
59′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ M. Samatta
60′
🔁 M. Tisserand
↦ S. Aziz
B. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Ljajić
73′
74′
🔁 O. Tufan
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
75′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ E. Valencia
79′
🟨 José Sosa
G. N'Koudou 🔁
↦ C. Larin
89′
89′
O. Tufan 1–1
C. Erkin
Rachid Ghezzal 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Dimitrios Pelkas
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ A. Hutchinson
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
22 A. Ljajić M
18 R. Ghezzal M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
43 B. Mensah
7 G. N'Koudou
20 N. Uysal
10 O. Özyakup
4 Javi Montero
33 R. Yılmaz
97 U. Yuvakuran
26 D. Toköz
29 C. Tosun
19 A. Hasić

Coach: S. Yalçın

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
88 C. Erkin D
35 N. Sangaré D
41 Attila Szalai D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 İ. Kahveci M
14 D. Pelkas M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
13 E. Valencia M
10 M. Samatta F
Bench (10)
5 J. Sosa
27 M. Thiam
26 M. Tisserand
7 O. Tufan
16 F. Kadıoğlu
77 G. Gönül
15 H. Tekin
8 M. Yandaş
37 F. Novák
9 P. Cissé

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,47
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.