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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Kilmarnock
T S U S T
3–3
Full-time
St Mirren
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
36%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · St Mirren 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 37 31 6 0 +75 99
2 Celtic 37 22 10 5 +49 76
3 Hibernian 36 17 8 11 +12 59
4 Aberdeen 36 15 11 10 +3 56
5 Motherwell 37 12 9 16 -15 45
6 ST Johnstone 37 11 11 15 -10 44
7 Livingston 37 12 8 17 -12 44
8 St Mirren 36 11 10 15 -8 43
9 Dundee United 37 10 13 14 -18 43
10 Ross County 36 9 6 21 -33 33
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 5 22 -13 32
12 Hamilton 36 7 9 20 -30 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -21 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–0 2. Jan -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 26. Sep -20 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 29. Dec -19 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 1–0 26. Oct -19 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

Kilmarnock St Mirren
1–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
C. Burke
8′
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
34′
38′
🟨 Daniel Finlayson
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Connolly
↦ Í. Durmuş
Alan Power 🟨
61′
2–0 K. Lafferty ⚽
C. Waters
61′
63′
⚽ J. McGrath 2–1
66′
🔁 C. Quaner
↦ J. Obika
66′
🔁 K. Dennis
↦ L. Erwin
66′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
78′
⚽ C. MacPherson 2–2
J. Henderson
3–2 G. Kiltie ⚽
81′
82′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ D. Finlayson
83′
⚽ C. Quaner 3–3
D. Connolly
B. Haunstrup 🔁
↦ C. Waters
84′
D. Whitehall 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
94′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
18 C. Waters D
22 R. Millen D
14 Z. Rossi D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
19 M. Pinnock M
28 K. Lafferty F
10 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
3 B. Haunstrup
12 D. Whitehall
9 G. Oakley
2 A. McGowan
21 Y. Mulumbu
27 A. Tshibola
24 Z. Medley
7 R. McKenzie
16 C. Doyle

Coach: T. Wright

St Mirren

3-4-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
15 D. Finlayson D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath F
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
30 J. Henderson M
9 J. Obika F
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (9)
21 D. Connolly
45 C. Quaner
20 K. Dennis
14 C. MacPherson
10 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
3 B. Mason
2 R. Tait
25 E. Erhahon

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
🔒
U ✓
3,33
🔒
B
3,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,17
🔒
U2,5
1,67
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.