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Premiership

Referee: B Madden

Motherwell

S S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 29%

31%

26%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

46%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	35	29	6	0	+69	93
2	Celtic	35	21	10	4	+48	73
3	Hibernian	35	17	8	10	+13	59
4	Aberdeen	35	14	11	10	+2	53
5	Livingston	35	12	8	15	-8	44
6	St Mirren	35	11	10	14	-7	43
7	Dundee United	35	10	12	13	-16	42
8	ST Johnstone	35	10	11	14	-7	41
9	Motherwell	35	11	8	16	-17	41
10	Kilmarnock	35	9	5	21	-11	32
11	Ross County	35	8	6	21	-35	30
12	Hamilton	35	6	9	20	-31	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	17	17	0	0	+46	51
2	Celtic	18	12	4	2	+26	40
3	Aberdeen	18	9	5	4	+6	32
4	Hibernian	17	7	5	5	+1	26
5	Dundee United	17	6	5	6	-1	23
6	Kilmarnock	18	6	4	8	+3	22
7	Livingston	17	6	4	7	-1	22
8	ST Johnstone	18	5	5	8	-6	20
9	St Mirren	17	4	7	6	-7	19
10	Motherwell	17	5	3	9	-12	18
11	Ross County	18	4	4	10	-17	16
12	Hamilton	18	2	6	10	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	18	12	6	0	+23	42
2	Celtic	17	9	6	2	+22	33
3	Hibernian	18	10	3	5	+12	33
4	St Mirren	18	7	3	8	+0	24
5	Motherwell	18	6	5	7	-5	23
6	Livingston	18	6	4	8	-7	22
7	ST Johnstone	17	5	6	6	-1	21
8	Aberdeen	17	5	6	6	-4	21
9	Dundee United	18	4	7	7	-15	19
10	Hamilton	17	4	3	10	-17	15
11	Ross County	17	4	2	11	-18	14
12	Kilmarnock	17	3	1	13	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.