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Pro League

Mouscron

U S U T T

1–3

Full-time

St Truiden

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 22/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

27%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

59%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

68%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mouscron 10. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	24	19	4	1	+43	61
2	Charleroi	25	14	8	3	+25	50
3	Gent	25	14	6	5	+22	48
4	Standard	27	14	6	7	+20	48
5	Antwerp	25	14	6	5	+20	48
6	Genk	26	13	5	8	+13	44
7	Mechelen	25	12	5	8	+2	41
8	Waregem	24	10	5	9	+1	35
9	Anderlecht	24	6	11	7	+1	29
10	Mouscron	22	6	9	7	-1	27
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	6	9	7	-1	27
12	St Truiden	25	7	6	12	-16	27
13	Kortrijk	25	6	4	15	-13	22
14	Eupen	24	5	6	13	-19	21
15	Waasland-Beveren	22	5	5	12	-23	20
16	Beveren	22	5	5	12	-23	20
17	Oostende	26	5	4	17	-24	19
18	Cercle Brugge	25	4	4	17	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Standard	14	10	2	2	+19	32
3	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+25	30
4	Antwerp	11	9	2	0	+16	29
5	Charleroi	12	9	1	2	+13	28
6	Genk	13	9	1	3	+9	28
7	Waregem	11	6	1	4	+9	19
8	Anderlecht	13	4	6	3	+4	18
9	Mouscron	11	4	5	2	+5	17
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	4	5	2	+5	17
11	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	-2	16
12	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-1	15
13	Oostende	13	4	3	6	-4	15
14	Kortrijk	13	4	2	7	-1	14
15	Cercle Brugge	13	4	2	7	-7	14
16	Eupen	12	2	5	5	-6	11
17	Waasland-Beveren	11	3	2	6	-13	11
18	Beveren	11	3	2	6	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	10	1	1	+18	31
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+4	25
3	Charleroi	13	5	7	1	+12	22
4	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+4	19
5	Genk	13	4	4	5	+4	16
6	Standard	13	4	4	5	+1	16
7	Waregem	13	4	4	5	-8	16
8	Gent	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	St Truiden	12	4	0	8	-15	12
10	Anderlecht	11	2	5	4	-3	11
11	Mouscron	11	2	4	5	-6	10
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	10
14	Waasland-Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
15	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Kortrijk	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Oostende	13	1	1	11	-20	4
18	Cercle Brugge	12	0	2	10	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.