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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Ankaragücü
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Goztep
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
62%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 17. · Goztep 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 14 9 3 2 +16 30
2 Fenerbahce 14 7 4 3 +12 25
3 Buyuksehyr 13 7 4 2 +8 25
4 Besiktas 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Trabzonspor 13 6 5 2 +10 23
6 Alanyaspor 13 6 4 3 +11 22
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 14 5 5 4 +10 20
8 Galatasaray 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Denizlispor 13 5 2 6 -1 17
10 Goztep 13 4 5 4 -1 17
11 Rizespor 13 5 2 6 -7 17
12 Gaziantep 13 4 4 5 -6 16
13 Genclerbirligi 14 3 5 6 -3 14
14 Konyaspor 13 3 4 6 -7 13
15 Kasimpasa 13 3 3 7 -5 12
16 Antalyaspor 13 3 3 7 -11 12
17 Ankaragücü 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Kayserispor 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Goztep
1′
H. Akbunar 0–1
1–1 İ. Parlak
S. Ağçay
31′
38′
🟨 Alpaslan Öztürk
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Bakırbaş
↦ Beto
46′
🔁 Marcio Mossoró
↦ H. Akbunar
47′
S. Gürler 1–2
L. Gassama
51′
🟨 Cameron Jerome
58′
S. Gürler 1–3
S. Aydoğdu
C. Karayel 🔁
↦ W. Moke
63′
H. Kaya 🔁
↦ A. Karabulut
69′
Hasan Kaya 🟨
76′
A. Önal 🔁
↦ S. Ağçay
77′
85′
🔁 D. Kadah
↦ S. Gürler
Alper Onal 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Soner Aydoğdu
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
20 A. Karabulut M
3 S. Ağçay M
10 H. Canteros M
21 W. Moke M
23 İ. Parlak M
12 D. Orgill F
Bench (10)
19 C. Karayel
28 H. Kaya
45 A. Önal
80 B. Gürbüz
2 Y. Ayhan
5 A. Kubalas
4 M. Sak
14 R. Faty
99 F. Bekleviç
17 E. Aygören

Coach: M. Kaplan

Goztep

4-2-3-1
13 Beto G
4 Titi D
20 L. Gassama D
41 B. Emir D
8 Castro M
88 S. Aydoğdu M
11 S. Gürler M
5 A. Öztürk D
7 H. Akbunar M
99 S. Napoleoni M
32 C. Jerome F
Bench (10)
1 M. Bakırbaş
10 Marcio Mossoró
63 D. Kadah
23 Y. Öztekin
55 L. Schwechlen
77 M. Paluli
6 C. Borges
30 Y. Kayan
33 A. Nukan
25 Wallace

Coach: E. Parlatan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,62
U
3,33
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.