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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Montpellier

U T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Dijon

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

35%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Dijon 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	16	1	3	+36	49
2	Marseille	21	12	6	3	+9	42
3	Rennes	21	11	4	6	+7	37
4	Nantes	20	10	2	8	+1	32
5	Lille	20	9	4	7	+2	31
6	Montpellier	20	8	6	6	+8	30
7	Angers	21	8	6	7	-2	30
8	Lyon	20	8	5	7	+12	29
9	Reims	20	7	8	5	+4	29
10	Monaco	20	8	5	7	+2	29
11	Nice	21	8	5	8	+1	29
12	Strasbourg	20	8	3	9	-2	27
13	Bordeaux	20	7	5	8	+5	26
14	Brest	20	6	7	7	+0	25
15	St Etienne	20	7	4	9	-9	25
16	Dijon	20	5	6	9	-7	21
17	Metz	20	4	8	8	-10	20
18	Amiens	20	4	6	10	-16	18
19	Nimes	20	3	6	11	-18	15
20	Toulouse	20	3	3	14	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Paris SG	10	8	1	1	+21	25
3	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Montpellier	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Angers	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Nice	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Strasbourg	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Monaco	10	6	1	3	+7	19
9	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
10	Nantes	10	6	1	3	+3	19
11	Brest	10	4	5	1	+9	17
12	Dijon	10	4	4	2	+1	16
13	Reims	10	3	6	1	+4	15
14	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
15	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
16	St Etienne	10	3	4	3	-2	13
17	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Lyon	9	3	2	4	+5	11
19	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-2	11
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
3	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Nantes	10	4	1	5	-2	13
7	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Monaco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Angers	10	2	3	5	-11	9
11	Montpellier	10	1	5	4	-3	8
12	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
13	Brest	10	2	2	6	-9	8
14	Strasbourg	10	2	1	7	-8	7
15	Metz	10	1	4	5	-11	7
16	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-8	5
18	Lille	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Nimes	10	0	4	6	-16	4
20	Toulouse	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.