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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
Rizespor
U T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Denizlispor
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
46%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 15. · Denizlispor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 28 17 8 3 +28 59
2 Trabzonspor 29 16 10 3 +33 58
3 Sivasspor 28 15 8 5 +19 53
4 Galatasaray 28 14 9 5 +22 51
5 Besiktas 29 15 5 9 +14 50
6 Fenerbahce 29 13 7 9 +12 46
7 Alanyaspor 29 12 9 8 +17 45
8 Goztep 29 10 8 11 -2 38
9 Antalyaspor 28 9 9 10 -11 36
10 Gaziantep 28 8 10 10 -5 34
11 Kasimpasa 28 9 5 14 -9 32
12 Genclerbirligi 28 8 7 13 -12 31
13 Denizlispor 28 8 7 13 -13 31
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 29 7 7 15 -3 28
15 Rizespor 28 8 4 16 -18 28
16 Konyaspor 29 5 12 12 -16 27
17 Ankaragücü 29 5 10 14 -23 25
18 Kayserispor 28 6 7 15 -33 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Denizlispor
4′
🟨 O. Cek
M. Morozyuk 🟨
16′
20′
O. Estupiñán 0–1
30′
Ivanildo Fernandes 1–1
own goal
2–1 M. Škoda
M. Moroziuk
40′
O. Ovacıklı 🔁
↦ M. Moroziuk
42′
Half-time 2–1
62′
🔁 I. Sackey
↦ M. Mbamba
T. Torun 🟨
67′
Yan Sasse 🔁
↦ T. Torun
70′
D. Harmash 🔁
↦ A. Vetrih
70′
70′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ Ö. Çek
70′
🔁 O. Şahan
↦ O. Estupiñán
3–1 Rick Boldrin
O. Ovacıklı
71′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-4-2
13 T. Çetin G
55 M. Moroziuk D
53 D. Melnjak D
64 Ivanildo Fernandes D
4 M. Talbi D
29 T. Torun M
44 A. Vetrih M
10 Rick Boldrin F
27 I. Diomandé M
21 M. Škoda F
18 Samu M
Bench (10)
77 O. Ovacıklı
70 Yan Sasse
20 D. Harmash
35 A. Koç
5 A. Durak
96 A. Boryachuk
66 O. Güçtekin
8 A. Akkaynak
28 B. Albayrak
30 Z. Görgen

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Denizlispor

4-4-1-1
25 T. Acar G
60 Ö. Çek M
5 M. Yumlu D
55 S. Ben Youssef D
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
10 I. Aissati M
6 M. Mbamba M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
19 O. Estupiñán F
Bench (7)
90 I. Sackey
9 H. Sacko
70 O. Şahan
3 M. Özkal
11 S. Şahintürk
1 H. Altıntaş
44 A. Kalkan

Coach: B. Uygun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,37
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.