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Superligaen
Hobro
S U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Esbjerg
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hobro Esbjerg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 16%
14%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 68%
69%
66%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hobro 12. · Esbjerg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 29 22 3 4 +29 69
2 FC Copenhagen 29 19 4 6 +20 61
3 Aarhus 30 16 6 8 +13 54
4 Nordsjaelland 29 13 6 10 +16 45
5 Brondby 29 13 6 10 +10 45
6 Aalborg 30 12 5 13 +6 41
7 Horsens 30 11 7 12 -16 40
8 Randers FC 30 11 6 13 +3 39
9 Odense 29 11 6 12 +1 39
10 Sonderjyske 30 9 9 12 -12 36
11 Lyngby 29 9 6 14 -16 33
12 Hobro 29 4 15 10 -12 27
13 Esbjerg 29 5 7 17 -22 22
14 Silkeborg 30 4 8 18 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.