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Super League

Referee: C Turpin

AEK

U U S U U

1–2

Full-time

Olympiakos

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 67%

53%

81%

Points per game

1,9

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 43%

47%

38%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

0,9

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%

4 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Olympiakos 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	32	26	6	0	+55	84
2	PAOK	33	21	7	5	+30	70
3	AEK	32	17	10	5	+23	61
4	Panathinaikos	32	12	12	8	+5	48
5	OFI Crete	33	11	6	16	-6	39
6	Aris Thessalonikis	30	9	11	10	+4	38
7	Aris	30	9	11	10	+4	38
8	Atromitos	31	10	8	13	-5	38
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	9	10	13	-4	37
10	Larisa	31	9	10	12	-6	37
11	Xanthi	32	9	7	16	-14	34
12	Lamia	31	6	15	10	-13	33
13	Volos NFC	31	9	6	16	-24	33
14	Panionios	32	7	7	18	-28	28
15	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-21	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	16	1	0	+36	49
2	PAOK	16	11	3	2	+20	36
3	AEK	17	9	7	1	+18	34
4	OFI Crete	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Panathinaikos	15	8	4	3	+13	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	2	5	+12	26
7	Aris	15	8	2	5	+12	26
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	6	7	3	+7	25
9	Volos NFC	15	7	3	5	-1	24
10	Larisa	16	6	4	6	+3	22
11	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	+5	21
12	Panetolikos	16	5	6	5	+1	21
13	Xanthi	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Lamia	16	4	9	3	-1	21
15	Panionios	16	5	5	6	+0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	10	5	0	+19	35
2	PAOK	17	10	4	3	+10	34
3	AEK	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Panathinaikos	17	4	8	5	-8	20
5	Atromitos	16	5	2	9	-10	17
6	Larisa	15	3	6	6	-9	15
7	Xanthi	16	4	1	11	-15	13
8	Aris Thessalonikis	15	1	9	5	-8	12
9	Aris	15	1	9	5	-8	12
10	Asteras Tripolis	16	3	3	10	-11	12
11	Lamia	15	2	6	7	-12	12
12	OFI Crete	17	2	3	12	-19	9
13	Volos NFC	16	2	3	11	-23	9
14	Panionios	16	2	2	12	-28	8
15	Panetolikos	16	0	4	12	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.