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Super League
Referee: F Zwayer
0–2
Full-time
PAOK
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 29/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
52%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 32 26 6 0 +55 84
2 PAOK 32 20 7 5 +28 67
3 AEK 32 17 10 5 +23 61
4 Panathinaikos 32 12 12 8 +5 48
5 OFI Crete 33 11 6 16 -6 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 29 9 11 9 +6 38
7 Aris 30 9 11 10 +4 38
8 Atromitos 31 10 8 13 -5 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Larisa 31 9 10 12 -6 37
11 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
12 Lamia 31 6 15 10 -13 33
13 Volos NFC 31 9 6 16 -24 33
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
4′
🟨 Mauricio
15′
🟨 L. Matos
J. Matilla 🟨
33′
M. Tonso 🟨
35′
36′
Fernando Varela 0–1
M. Stoch
Sasha 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–2
49′
K. Świderski 0–2
D. Biseswar
A. Ba 🟨
57′
65′
🟨 C. Tzolis
81′
🔁 Rodrigo Alves
↦ C. Tzolis
81′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ K. Świderski
86′
🔁 T. Tsiggaras
↦ D. Biseswar
86′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ M. Stoch
87′
🟨 A. Paschalakis
G. Delizisis 🟥
92′
94′
🔁 I. Michailidis
↦ Léo Matos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
5 G. Delizisis D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
19 M. Tonso M
24 D. Mancini M
98 A. Ba M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (8)
21 D. Sundgren
38 P. Bakoutsis
8 L. Duarte
1 F. Ehmann
28 I. Fetfatzidis
40 P. Bagalianis
7 N. Diguiny
75 A. Tsilingiris

Coach: M. Oenning

PAOK

4-3-3
31 A. Paschalakis G
3 Léo Matos D
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
21 D. Biseswar M
8 Maurício M
99 M. Stoch M
24 A. Esiti M
9 K. Świderski F
68 C. Tzolis -
Bench (8)
2 Rodrigo Alves
47 C. Akpom
51 T. Tsiggaras
18 D. Limnios
49 I. Michailidis
88 Ž. Živković
6 E. Mihaj
22 L. Lamprou

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.