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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Sturm Graz
T S T T T
2–3
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
34%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
55%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 11
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 8. · SK Rapid 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 20 8 2 +70 68
2 LASK 30 20 4 6 +35 64
3 SK Rapid 29 15 7 7 +20 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 30 14 8 8 +24 50
5 Austria Vienna 30 10 11 9 +0 41
6 Altach 30 10 8 12 -5 38
7 Hartberg 30 11 5 14 -25 38
8 Sturm Graz 29 10 5 14 -7 35
9 St. Polten 30 6 10 14 -31 28
10 Admira 30 6 9 15 -25 27
11 Mattersburg 30 7 6 17 -27 27
12 Tirol 30 6 7 17 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Jun -20 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 4–0 24. Nov -19 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 18. Aug -19 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 0–1

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
23′
🟨 M. Hofmann
1–0 S. Hierlander ⚽
J. Jantscher
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Hofmann
↦ D. Petrovic
2–0 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
K. Despodov
47′
51′
⚽ K. Arase 2–1
F. Stojkovic
60′
🔁 K. Kitagawa
↦ E. Kara
S. Hierlander 🔁
↦ E. Sakic
71′
J. Jantscher 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 C. Knasmullner
↦ M. Ibrahimoglu
J. Dominguez 🟨
76′
83′
⚽ S. Schwab 2–2
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ L. Jager
88′
J. Jantscher 🔁
↦ D. Shabanhaxhaj
89′
90′
⚽ E. Kara 2–3
T. Schick
93′
🔁 T. Schick
↦ S. Grahovac
J. Dominguez 🔁
↦ K. Friesenbichler
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
27 Jörg Siebenhandl G
25 Stefan Hierländer D
5 Tasos Avlonitis D
35 Niklas Geyrhofer D
36 Vincent Trummer D
21 Juan Dominguez M
30 Ivan Ljubić M
11 Kiril Despodov M
10 Otar Kiteishvili M
13 Jakob Jantscher M
9 Bekim Balaj F
Bench (7)
32 Tobias Schützenauer
20 Isaac Donkor
8 Emanuel Šakić
17 Lukas Jäger
33 Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
28 Winfred Amoah
19 Kevin Friesenbichler

Coach: N. El Maestro

SK Rapid

3-4-1-2
21 Tobias Knoflach G
22 Filip Stojković D
20 Maximilian Hofmann D
30 Leo Greiml D
13 Thorsten Schick M
39 Dejan Ljubičić M
8 Stefan Schwab M
31 Maximilian Ullmann M
28 Christoph Knasmüllner F
32 Koya Kitagawa F
36 Kelvin Arase F
Bench (7)
25 Paul Gartler
24 Stephan Auer
14 Srđan Grahovac
40 Melih Ibrahimoglu
16 Dejan Petrović
29 Ercan Kara
43 Dragoljub Savić

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.