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Bundesliga
Referee: A Heiß
Salzburg
S S U U S
3–0
Full-time
Hartberg
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,8
Scored
3,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 52%
66%
38%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
79%
79%
Both score Ø 66%
66%
66%
Average goals
4,5
3,9
Scored
3,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
33 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 11
9 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Hartberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 29 19 8 2 +67 65
2 LASK 29 20 4 5 +36 64
3 SK Rapid 29 15 7 7 +20 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 29 13 8 8 +23 47
5 Austria Vienna 30 10 11 9 +0 41
6 Altach 30 10 8 12 -5 38
7 Hartberg 29 11 5 13 -22 38
8 Sturm Graz 29 10 5 14 -7 35
9 St. Polten 30 6 10 14 -31 28
10 Admira 30 6 9 15 -25 27
11 Mattersburg 30 7 6 17 -27 27
12 Tirol 30 6 7 17 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Hartberg
34′
🟨 B. Nimaga
1–0 Andre Ramalho
D. Szoboszlai
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Klem
↦ S. Rasswalder
46′
🔁 F. Luckeneder
↦ T. Rotter
2–0 Hwang Hee-Chan
A. Vallci
53′
3–0 P. Daka
Hwang Hee-Chan
59′
61′
🔁 B. Nimaga
↦ D. Kirnbauer
D. Szoboszlai 🔁
↦ N. Okafor
63′
A. Vallci 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
63′
66′
🔁 R. Rep
↦ J. Dossou
E. Mwepu 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzovic
70′
A. Ulmer 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
70′
M. Camara 🟨
74′
Hwang Hee-Chan 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
81′
Andre Ramalho 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 Cican Stanković G
5 Albert Vallci D
15 André Ramalho D
39 Maximilian Wöber D
17 Andreas Ulmer D
45 Enock Mwepu M
19 Mohamed Camara M
37 Masaya Okugawa M
14 Dominik Szoboszlai M
9 Hee Chan Hwang F
20 Patson Daka F
Bench (7)
31 Carlos Miguel
6 Jérôme Onguene
43 Rasmus Kristensen
4 Majeed Ashimeru
16 Zlatko Junuzović
27 Karim Adeyemi
77 Noah Okafor

Coach: J. Marsch

Hartberg

4-3-3
35 Raphael Sallinger G
15 Marcel Schantl D
4 Michael Huber D
32 Felix Luckeneder D
14 Christian Klem D
29 Peter Tschernegg M
42 Bakary Nimaga M
18 David Cancola M
11 Lukas Gabbichler F
9 Rajko Rep F
8 Christoph Kröpfl F
Bench (7)
21 Florian Faist
6 Andreas Lienhart
7 Siegfried Rasswalder
31 Thomas Rotter
20 Jodel Dossou
43 Dominik Kirnbauer
24 Dario Tadić

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Heiß · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.