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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 14
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Gaziantep 11. · Besiktas 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Denizlispor 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Rizespor 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Sivasspor 4 1 2 1 +2 5
7 Trabzonspor 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Ankaragücü 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Antalyaspor 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Besiktas 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Gaziantep 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 1 0 2 +1 3
14 Konyaspor 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Kayserispor 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Goztep 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Kasimpasa 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Genclerbirligi 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Besiktas
6′
🟥 Domagoj Vida
1–0 P. Twumasi
8′
Souleymane Diarra 🟨
19′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Víctor Ruiz
Günay Güvenç 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Adem Ljajić
2–0 G. Vural
O. Kayode
58′
R. Chibsah 🔁
↦ S. Diarra
60′
66′
🔁 T. Boyd
↦ A. Diaby
66′
🔁 A. Hutchinson
↦ D. Toköz
Olarenwaju Kayode 🟥
75′
75′
🟥 Mohamed Elneny
M. Demir 🔁
↦ P. Twumasi
77′
3–0 R. Chibsah
G. Vural
79′
F. Soyalp 🔁
↦ G. Vural
81′
83′
🔁 U. Nayir
↦ G. Yalçın
83′
U. Nayir 3–1
A. Ljajić
84′
A. Hutchinson 3–2
A. Ljajić
88′
🟨 Caner Erkin
Oğuz Ceylan 🟨
90′
Muhammet Demir 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Tyler Boyd
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Gaziantep

5-4-1
1 G. Güvenç G
13 Junior Maranhão D
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
76 J. Kana-Biyik D
17 O. Ceylan D
11 G. Vural M
55 A. Tetteh M
18 S. Diarra M
10 O. Kayode F
27 P. Twumasi M
Bench (10)
15 R. Chibsah
14 M. Demir
19 F. Soyalp
23 M. Uğurlu
9 B. Pawłowski
21 Y. Lodygin
7 K. Özer
16 P. Olkowski
4 U. Zengin
5 K. Aktaş

Coach: M. Şumudică

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 L. Karius G
88 C. Erkin D
77 G. Gönül D
24 D. Vida D
4 Víctor Ruíz D
22 A. Ljajić M
15 Mohamed Elneny M
19 G. N'Koudou M
26 D. Toköz M
92 A. Diaby M
9 G. Yalçın F
Bench (10)
11 T. Boyd
13 A. Hutchinson
8 U. Nayir
3 E. Roco
21 M. Oktay
20 N. Uysal
23 Pedro Rebocho
14 O. Çınar
5 Douglas Pereira
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,06
U
3,75
B
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.