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Süper Lig
Referee: Ramazan Keles
Hatayspor
S S T U S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
61%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 5. · Yeni Malatyaspor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 18 12 2 4 +20 38
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 2 4 +16 38
3 Gaziantep 18 9 7 2 +13 34
4 Galatasaray 18 10 3 5 +18 33
5 Hatayspor 18 9 4 5 +5 31
6 Alanyaspor 18 9 3 6 +13 30
7 Trabzonspor 19 8 6 5 +1 30
8 Karagumruk 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 Goztep 19 6 7 6 +6 25
10 Antalyaspor 19 6 7 6 -6 25
11 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Sivasspor 18 5 8 5 -2 23
13 Buyuksehyr 19 6 5 8 -6 23
14 Konyaspor 19 6 4 9 +0 22
15 Kasimpasa 18 6 4 8 -8 22
16 Rizespor 18 5 6 7 -11 21
17 Kayserispor 19 5 4 10 -9 19
18 Genclerbirligi 19 5 4 10 -19 19
19 Erzurumspor 19 4 4 11 -16 16
20 Ankaragücü 18 4 3 11 -9 15
21 Denizlispor 18 3 5 10 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Yeni Malatyaspor
Yusuf Abdioğlu 🟨
-5′
39′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
45′
🟨 Teenage Hadebe
Half-time 0–0
Isaac Sackey 🟨
51′
53′
Z. Yavru 0–1
S. Ilgaz 🔁
↦ Noss Traoré
57′
Rayane Aabid 🟨
61′
72′
ℹ️ Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Mert 🔁
↦ R. Aabid
77′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ M. Diouf
77′
77′
A. Büyük 0–2
80′
🟨 Adem Büyük
84′
🔁 M. Eskihellaç
↦ A. Acquah
84′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ Z. Yavru
1–2 A. Boupendza
M. Kamara
87′
Muhammed Mert 🟨
90′
S. Örnek 🔁
↦ M. Çaytemel
91′
98′
🔁 F. Zuqui
↦ K. Kanatsızkuş
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
34 A. Alkan G
16 M. Çaytemel D
90 S. Popov D
14 Pablo D
88 Rúben Ribeiro M
5 I. Sackey D
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
17 D. Akintola M
92 M. Diouf F
9 A. Boupendza M
Bench (10)
10 S. Ilgaz
19 M. Mert
30 M. Kamara
4 S. Örnek
41 J. Akomadi
23 A. Canlı
3 A. Katranis
33 Y. Boyar
55 Y. Abdioğlu
2 B. Çamoglu

Coach: M. Sönmez

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
61 Z. Yavru M
57 I. Chebake D
13 Wallace D
45 Karim Hafez D
17 T. Hadebe D
6 A. Acquah M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
9 U. Bulut F
99 A. Büyük M
90 K. Kanatsızkuş M
Bench (10)
77 M. Eskihellaç
20 A. Ildız
8 F. Zuqui
92 B. Cevahir
98 J. Topalli
70 E. Yaşa
39 E. Kaş
14 D. Emeksiz
11 J. Lukoki
1 A. Damlu

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,28
B ✓
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.