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Süper Lig
Referee: Koray Gencerler
Denizlispor
S T U T U
0–2
Full-time
Hatayspor
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
18%
47%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
53%
35%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Denizlispor 20. · Hatayspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 17 11 2 4 +18 35
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +14 35
3 Gaziantep 18 9 7 2 +13 34
4 Galatasaray 17 10 3 4 +20 33
5 Alanyaspor 18 9 3 6 +13 30
6 Hatayspor 17 8 4 5 +3 28
7 Karagumruk 18 7 6 5 +6 27
8 Trabzonspor 18 7 6 5 -1 27
9 Antalyaspor 19 6 7 6 -6 25
10 Sivasspor 18 5 8 5 -2 23
11 Buyuksehyr 18 6 5 7 -4 23
12 Konyaspor 18 6 4 8 +2 22
13 Goztep 18 5 7 6 +2 22
14 Kasimpasa 17 6 4 7 -7 22
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 21
16 Rizespor 17 5 6 6 -8 21
17 Genclerbirligi 18 5 4 9 -15 19
18 Kayserispor 18 4 4 10 -11 16
19 Ankaragücü 17 4 3 10 -7 15
20 Denizlispor 17 3 5 9 -11 14
21 Erzurumspor 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Hatayspor
32′
🟨 Jean Claude Billong
35′
🟨 Rúben Ribeiro
Half-time 1–0
47′
M. Özkal 1–0
own goal
76′
🔁 I. Sackey
↦ Noss Traoré
Hadi Sacko 🟨
77′
78′
M. Diouf 1–1
S. Aytaç 🔁
↦ Ö. Özdemir
79′
84′
🟨 Jean Claude Billong
84′
🟥 Jean Claude Billong
M. Sarıkuş 🔁
↦ M. Dossevi
89′
Sakıb Aytaç 🟨
90′
90′
ℹ️ Babajide David Akintola
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
🔁 A. Katranis
↦ M. Çaytemel
97′
🔁 S. Ilgaz
↦ D. Akintola
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-4-2
29 C. Pantilimon G
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
76 Ö. Özdemir D
3 M. Özkal D
14 M. Dossevi M
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
11 M. Mešanović F
28 Á. Sagal M
9 H. Sacko F
Bench (7)
23 S. Aytaç
65 M. Sarıkuş
19 C. Gönen
88 A. Kalkan
94 M. Kıryolcu
77 E. Kaşcıoğlu
1 H. Altıntaş

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
34 A. Alkan G
16 M. Çaytemel D
90 S. Popov D
14 Pablo D
6 J. Billong D
88 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
17 D. Akintola M
92 M. Diouf F
9 A. Boupendza M
Bench (10)
5 I. Sackey
3 A. Katranis
10 S. Ilgaz
19 M. Mert
23 A. Canlı
33 Y. Boyar
2 B. Çamoglu
30 M. Kamara
18 M. Altınöz
4 S. Örnek

Coach: M. Sönmez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
3,36
B ✓
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.