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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Goztep
T U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
56%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 18. · Karagumruk 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 17 13 3 1 +21 42
2 Konyaspor 17 9 6 2 +14 33
3 Buyuksehyr 17 9 2 6 +8 29
4 Hatayspor 17 9 2 6 +5 29
5 Fenerbahce 16 8 3 5 +6 27
6 Alanyaspor 17 8 3 6 -1 27
7 Ad. Demirspor 17 7 5 5 +3 26
8 Sivasspor 17 6 7 4 +9 25
9 Besiktas 16 7 3 6 +2 24
10 Galatasaray 17 6 6 5 +1 24
11 Giresunspor 17 6 4 7 +3 22
12 Karagumruk 16 6 4 6 -2 22
13 Gaziantep 16 6 3 7 -4 21
14 Antalyaspor 17 6 3 8 -4 21
15 Kayserispor 16 5 4 7 -4 19
16 Altay 17 5 3 9 -6 18
17 Rizespor 17 5 1 11 -16 16
18 Goztep 16 3 5 8 -8 14
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 4 2 11 -16 14
20 Kasimpasa 17 2 5 10 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Karagumruk
34′
ℹ️ Ahmed Musa
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Burak Bekaroğlu
58′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ A. Ugur
68′
🔁 F. Borini
↦ Y. Salibur
Y. Kayan 🔁
↦ S. Aydoğdu
69′
69′
🔁 E. Öztümer
↦ A. Bertolacci
Lourency 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
70′
76′
C. Erkin 0–1
L. Biglia
Berkan Emir 🟨
81′
D. Bureković 🔁
↦ B. Emir
83′
K. Alıcı 🔁
↦ M. Paluli
83′
B. Şimşek 🔁
↦ A. Çankaya
83′
85′
🔁 T. Torun
↦ Y. Karamoh
85′
🔁 J. Balkovec
↦ V. Hedenstad
Lourency 🟨
90′
Obinna Nwobodo 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Goztep

3-4-1-2
1 İ. Eğribayat G
33 A. Nukan D
15 D. Arslanagić D
41 B. Emir M
77 M. Paluli M
8 S. Aydoğdu M
43 D. Tijanič F
5 O. Nwobodo M
23 A. Çankaya D
18 A. Jahović F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
30 Y. Kayan
11 Lourency
68 D. Bureković
2 K. Alıcı
10 B. Şimşek
16 B. Megyeri
17 E. Özkayımoğlu
14 M. Baku
4 K. Demirtaş
40 W. Ángel

Coach: N. El Maestro

Karagumruk

2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
91 A. Bertolacci M
77 A. Ugur M
93 Y. Salibur F
7 A. Musa F
92 Y. Karamoh F
Bench (10)
10 J. Durmaz
16 F. Borini
8 E. Öztümer
20 T. Torun
29 J. Balkovec
99 R. Baniya
24 V. Arveladze
14 E. Tatlı
60 A. Erdem
21 U. Yuvakuran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,45
B ✓
2,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.