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Süper Lig
Referee: F Aydınus
Fenerbahce
U S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Besiktas
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 5. · Besiktas 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 17 13 3 1 +21 42
2 Konyaspor 17 9 6 2 +14 33
3 Buyuksehyr 17 9 2 6 +8 29
4 Hatayspor 17 9 2 6 +5 29
5 Fenerbahce 16 8 3 5 +6 27
6 Alanyaspor 17 8 3 6 -1 27
7 Ad. Demirspor 17 7 5 5 +3 26
8 Sivasspor 17 6 7 4 +9 25
9 Karagumruk 17 7 4 6 -1 25
10 Besiktas 16 7 3 6 +2 24
11 Galatasaray 17 6 6 5 +1 24
12 Giresunspor 17 6 4 7 +3 22
13 Gaziantep 17 6 4 7 -4 22
14 Antalyaspor 17 6 3 8 -4 21
15 Kayserispor 17 5 5 7 -4 20
16 Altay 17 5 3 9 -6 18
17 Rizespor 17 5 1 11 -16 16
18 Goztep 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 4 2 11 -16 14
20 Kasimpasa 17 2 5 10 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Besiktas
1–0 M. Özil
14′
23′
🔁 S. Saatçı
↦ N. Uysal
25′
Josef de Souza 1–1
2–1 M. Berisha
30′
43′
🟨 Can Bozdoğan
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 O. Özyakup
↦ C. Bozdoğan
59′
Josef de Souza 2–2
R. Yılmaz
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ D. Rossi
65′
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
65′
69′
🟨 Rıdvan Yılmaz
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
71′
Attila Szalai 🟨
74′
Serdar Aziz 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
78′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ C. Larin
88′
🟨 Oğuzhan Özyakup
91′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
91′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ R. Ghezzal
N. Sangaré 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
92′
E. Valencia 🔁
↦ Attila Szalai
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-4-2-1
35 B. Özer G
4 S. Aziz D
37 F. Novák D
41 Attila Szalai M
3 Kim Min-Jae D
10 M. Özil F
26 M. Zajc M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
27 Miguel Crespo M
11 M. Berisha F
9 D. Rossi F
Bench (10)
17 İ. Kahveci
8 M. Yandaş
19 S. Dursun
13 E. Valencia
30 N. Sangaré
54 E. Çetin
14 D. Pelkas
5 J. Sosa
23 M. Gümüşkaya
20 Luiz Gustavo

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Besiktas

4-3-3
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
2 V. Rosier D
3 R. Yılmaz D
15 M. Pjanić M
5 Josef de Souza M
20 N. Uysal D
18 R. Ghezzal F
12 C. Bozdoğan M
9 M. Batshuayi F
17 C. Larin F
Bench (10)
46 S. Saatçı
10 O. Özyakup
50 G. Yalçın
11 G. Töre
4 Javi Montero
14 M. Topal
13 A. Hutchinson
23 Welinton
61 E. Bilgin
77 U. Meraş

Coach: Ö. Karaveli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,52
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Aydınus · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.