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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Besiktas
U S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,7
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 49%
40%
57%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 63%
60%
66%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 7. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 36 22 12 2 +34 78
2 Fenerbahce 35 20 8 7 +30 68
3 Konyaspor 35 19 7 9 +20 64
4 Buyuksehyr 36 18 7 11 +18 61
5 Alanyaspor 36 17 7 12 +5 58
6 Karagumruk 36 16 8 12 -4 56
7 Besiktas 35 14 12 9 +6 54
8 Ad. Demirspor 36 14 10 12 +7 52
9 Antalyaspor 35 14 10 11 +4 52
10 Kasimpasa 36 14 8 14 +10 50
11 Hatayspor 36 14 8 14 -5 50
12 Sivasspor 36 12 12 12 +0 48
13 Galatasaray 36 13 9 14 -3 48
14 Giresunspor 36 12 8 16 -3 44
15 Kayserispor 36 11 11 14 -9 44
16 Gaziantep 36 11 10 15 -7 43
17 Rizespor 36 10 6 20 -24 36
18 Altay 36 9 7 20 -15 34
19 Goztep 36 7 7 22 -28 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 36 5 5 26 -36 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Fenerbahce
6′
F. Novák 0–1
S. Dursun
Souza 🟨
29′
Souza ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
29′
29′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
1–1 R. Ghezzal
31′
Welinton 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
Rachid Ghezzal 🟨
47′
Ersin Destanoğlu 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Mert Hakan Yandaş
G. Nkoudou 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
62′
70′
🔁 E. Valencia
↦ S. Dursun
70′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ İ. Kahveci
C. Bozdoğan 🔁
↦ R. Ghezzal
75′
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ U. Meraş
75′
G. Yalçın 🔁
↦ C. Larin
75′
A. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ S. Saatçı
86′
Georges-Kévin N'Koudou 🟨
89′
92′
🟨 Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Rıdvan Yılmaz 🟨
93′
93′
🔁 Ç. Kurukalıp
↦ F. Kadıoğlu
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

3-4-1-2
30 E. Destanoğlu G
23 Welinton D
77 U. Meraş D
3 R. Yılmaz M
46 S. Saatçı D
5 Josef de Souza M
18 R. Ghezzal F
65 E. İlkhan M
9 M. Batshuayi F
28 K. Karaman M
17 C. Larin F
Bench (10)
7 G. Nkoudou
12 C. Bozdoğan
20 N. Uysal
50 G. Yalçın
13 A. Hutchinson
10 O. Özyakup
15 M. Pjanić
61 E. Bilgin
90 Alex Teixeira
37 K. Kalafat

Coach: V. Ismaël

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bayındır G
37 F. Novák D
32 M. Tisserand D
30 N. Sangaré D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
26 M. Zajc M
17 İ. Kahveci M
8 M. Yandaş M
16 F. Kadıoğlu D
19 S. Dursun F
9 D. Rossi M
Bench (10)
13 E. Valencia
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
11 M. Berisha
5 J. Sosa
77 B. Kapacak
65 E. Ortakaya
69 Y. Kocatürk
54 E. Çetin
35 B. Özer

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,50
B
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.