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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Villarreal

T U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Sevilla

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 46%

41%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

44%

32%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Sevilla 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	25	6	3	+44	81
2	Barcelona	35	20	9	6	+30	69
3	Sevilla	34	17	13	4	+22	64
4	Ath Madrid	34	18	7	9	+18	61
5	Betis	35	17	7	11	+17	58
6	Sociedad	35	15	11	9	+0	56
7	Villarreal	34	14	10	10	+21	52
8	Ath Bilbao	35	13	13	9	+7	52
9	Osasuna	34	12	9	13	-10	45
10	Valencia	35	10	14	11	-4	44
11	Celta	35	11	10	14	+3	43
12	Vallecano	35	11	9	15	-4	42
13	Elche	35	10	9	16	-11	39
14	Espanol	34	10	9	15	-12	39
15	Getafe	35	8	13	14	-6	37
16	Cadiz	35	7	14	14	-14	35
17	Granada	35	7	13	15	-16	34
18	Mallorca	35	8	8	19	-30	32
19	Levante	35	6	11	18	-23	29
20	Alaves	35	7	7	21	-32	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Sevilla	17	11	5	1	+18	38
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Villarreal	17	10	5	2	+23	35
5	Barcelona	17	11	2	4	+18	35
6	Sociedad	17	9	5	3	+5	32
7	Ath Bilbao	18	9	4	5	+9	31
8	Espanol	17	9	4	4	+6	31
9	Betis	18	9	2	7	+10	29
10	Vallecano	17	8	5	4	+10	29
11	Getafe	18	7	6	5	+6	27
12	Elche	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Mallorca	18	6	6	6	-6	24
14	Valencia	17	5	8	4	+3	23
15	Celta	18	6	4	8	+2	22
16	Alaves	17	6	4	7	-4	22
17	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
18	Levante	18	4	7	7	-4	19
19	Granada	17	4	6	7	-8	18
20	Cadiz	18	3	8	7	-5	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+19	41
2	Barcelona	18	9	7	2	+12	34
3	Betis	17	8	5	4	+7	29
4	Sevilla	17	6	8	3	+4	26
5	Ath Madrid	17	7	3	7	+2	24
6	Osasuna	17	7	3	7	-3	24
7	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	-5	24
8	Celta	17	5	6	6	+1	21
9	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	-2	21
10	Valencia	18	5	6	7	-7	21
11	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	17	4	5	8	-2	17
13	Granada	18	3	7	8	-8	16
14	Elche	18	4	3	11	-14	15
15	Vallecano	18	3	4	11	-14	13
16	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
17	Levante	17	2	4	11	-19	10
18	Espanol	17	1	5	11	-18	8
19	Mallorca	17	2	2	13	-24	8
20	Alaves	18	1	3	14	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.