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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Fenerbahce
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Galatasaray
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
52%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
58%
52%
Both score Ø 66%
71%
61%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Galatasaray 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 32 21 9 2 +32 72
2 Konyaspor 32 17 7 8 +17 58
3 Fenerbahce 31 16 8 7 +19 56
4 Buyuksehyr 32 16 5 11 +14 53
5 Ad. Demirspor 32 14 10 8 +16 52
6 Alanyaspor 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Besiktas 32 13 11 8 +8 50
8 Hatayspor 31 14 6 11 +2 48
9 Karagumruk 32 13 7 12 -8 46
10 Antalyaspor 31 12 8 11 -1 44
11 Kasimpasa 32 11 8 13 +2 41
12 Sivasspor 32 10 11 11 +0 41
13 Galatasaray 31 11 8 12 -3 41
14 Gaziantep 32 11 8 13 -3 41
15 Kayserispor 32 11 8 13 -8 41
16 Giresunspor 32 11 6 15 -4 39
17 Altay 32 8 5 19 -15 29
18 Rizespor 32 8 5 19 -26 29
19 Goztep 32 7 6 19 -18 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 5 5 22 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,67
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.