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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Gil Vicente
T T U U T
3–0
Full-time
Tondela
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
22%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
66%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
66%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
8 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 3
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gil Vicente 5. · Tondela 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 33 28 4 1 +62 88
2 Sp Lisbon 33 26 4 3 +46 82
3 Benfica 33 22 5 6 +46 71
4 Sp Braga 32 18 8 6 +21 62
5 Gil Vicente 32 12 12 8 +7 48
6 Guimaraes 33 12 9 12 +4 45
7 Estoril 33 9 12 12 -5 39
8 Pacos Ferreira 32 9 11 12 -11 38
9 Maritimo 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Boavista 33 7 16 10 -13 37
11 Santa Clara 32 8 13 11 -14 37
12 Portimonense 33 9 8 16 -15 35
13 Famalicao 32 7 12 13 -8 33
14 Vizela 32 7 11 14 -18 32
15 Arouca 32 7 9 16 -23 30
16 Tondela 32 7 6 19 -23 27
17 Moreirense 33 6 8 19 -21 26
18 Belenenses 32 5 10 17 -31 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Tondela
Fran Navarro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
7′
39′
🟥 Marcelo Alves
39′
ℹ️ Marcelo Alves
VAR: Card upgrade
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Fujimoto
Pedrinho
56′
2–0 Samuel Lino
K. Fujimoto
63′
Kanya Fujimoto 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Rafael Barbosa
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
70′
3–0 Samuel Lino
Pedrinho
76′
78′
🔁 S. D'Almeida
↦ Pedro Augusto
B. Aouacheria 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
82′
Henrique Gomes 🔁
↦ Talocha
82′
João Afonso 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
87′
87′
🔁 J. Boselli
↦ Daniel dos Anjos
Matheus Bueno 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
88′
90′
🟨 Iker Undabarrena
90′
🔁 Tiago Dantas
↦ Iker Undabarrena
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
42 Andrew G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
2 Zé Carlos D
8 Pedrinho M
11 A. Léautey F
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
15 G. Aburjania
7 B. Aouacheria
55 Henrique Gomes
6 João Afonso
57 Matheus Bueno
17 Boubacar Hanne
4 Diogo Silva
1 Ž. Frelih
93 Élder Santana

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Tondela

3-4-3
88 Pedro Trigueira G
34 Ricardo Alves D
3 Neto Borges M
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
33 Marcelo Alves D
19 Tiago Almeida M
21 Iker Undabarrena M
6 Pedro Augusto M
7 Salvador Agra F
70 Rafael Barbosa F
29 Daniel dos Anjos F
Bench (9)
20 S. D'Almeida
11 J. Boselli
28 Tiago Dantas
80 Telmo Arcanjo
18 M. Lacava
10 Javier Avilés
15 Manu Hernando
99 B. Niasse
17 R. Dadaşov

Coach: Nuno Campos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,60
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.