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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
Karagumruk
T S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Goztep
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,3
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
51%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
49%
69%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 7. · Goztep 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 36 22 12 2 +34 78
2 Fenerbahce 35 20 8 7 +30 68
3 Konyaspor 35 19 7 9 +20 64
4 Buyuksehyr 35 18 6 11 +18 60
5 Alanyaspor 35 16 7 12 +4 55
6 Besiktas 35 14 12 9 +6 54
7 Karagumruk 35 15 8 12 -6 53
8 Ad. Demirspor 35 14 10 11 +8 52
9 Antalyaspor 35 14 10 11 +4 52
10 Hatayspor 36 14 8 14 -5 50
11 Sivasspor 35 12 12 11 +2 48
12 Kasimpasa 35 13 8 14 +8 47
13 Galatasaray 35 13 8 14 -3 47
14 Kayserispor 36 11 11 14 -9 44
15 Giresunspor 35 12 7 16 -3 43
16 Gaziantep 36 11 10 15 -7 43
17 Altay 35 9 6 20 -15 33
18 Rizespor 35 9 6 20 -26 33
19 Goztep 35 7 7 21 -26 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 35 5 5 25 -34 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Goztep
1–0 F. Borini
E. Mor
31′
39′
🟨 Kerim Alıcı
Fabio Borini 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
47′
M. Baku 1–1
H. Akbunar
2–1 E. Mor
D. Biraschi
51′
62′
🔁 E. Özkayımoğlu
↦ F. Di Santo
3–1 B. Bekaroğlu
64′
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ A. Musa
71′
K. Bistrović 🔁
↦ L. Biglia
71′
71′
🔁 Lourency
↦ H. Akbunar
Kristijan Bistrović 🟨
73′
A. Ugur 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
80′
S. Onur 🔁
↦ F. Borini
80′
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ E. Mor
86′
86′
🔁 E. Saçıkara
↦ K. Alıcı
86′
🔁 F. Arslan
↦ D. Tijanič
86′
🔁 C. Şen
↦ Y. Kayan
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
4 D. Biraschi D
25 D. Luckassen D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
10 J. Durmaz M
9 E. Mor M
72 A. Pešić F
16 F. Borini M
7 A. Musa M
Bench (10)
92 Y. Karamoh
23 K. Bistrović
77 A. Ugur
22 S. Onur
18 L. Mercan
94 A. Touré
60 A. Erdem
29 J. Balkovec
30 S. Dursun
21 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: A. Canel

Goztep

4-1-4-1
13 A. Özçimen G
15 D. Arslanagić D
41 B. Emir D
3 M. Mihojević D
2 K. Alıcı D
7 H. Akbunar M
43 D. Tijanič M
30 Y. Kayan M
23 A. Çankaya M
26 F. Di Santo F
14 M. Baku M
Bench (10)
17 E. Özkayımoğlu
11 Lourency
19 E. Saçıkara
80 F. Arslan
50 C. Şen
77 M. Paluli
60 I. Furkan
24 E. Bilen
4 K. Demirtaş
21 F. Moubandje

Coach: S. Sabuncu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,33
B
5,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.