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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Ümraniyespor

U T

0–1

Full-time

Galatasaray

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 7

9 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 14

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ümraniyespor 13. · Galatasaray 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+6	4
4	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Gaziantep	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Giresunspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Ümraniyespor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Kayserispor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sivasspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Giresunspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ümraniyespor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	İstanbulspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Giresunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ümraniyespor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	İstanbulspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sivasspor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor Galatasaray

35′

🟨 Abdülkerim Bardakcı

Serkan Göksu 🟨

45′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 D. Mertens

↦ E. Akbaba

Yonathan Del Valle 🟨

55′

Geraldo 🔁

↦ O. Ayık

57′

V. Gheorghe 🔁

↦ Y. Del Valle

57′

65′

🔁 E. Kılınç

↦ K. Aktürkoğlu

I. Sackey 🔁

↦ D. Avounou

66′

N. Gagnidze 🔁

↦ A. Mršić

66′

Valentin Gheorghe 🟨

72′

Oğuz Gürbulak 🟨

76′

Isaac Sackey 🟨

77′

78′

🔁 B. Gomis

↦ H. Seferović

M. Mimaroğlu 🔁

↦ A. Bettaieb

85′

🔁 A. Cicâldău

↦ Sérgio Oliveira

85′

🔁 B. Yılmaz

↦ Y. Akgün

Nika Gagnidze 🟨

86′

⚽ B. Gomis 0–1

P. van Aanholt

92′

🟨 Sacha Boey

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-1-4-1

1 S. Kırıntılı G

8 S. Göksu D

33 Allyson D

44 T. Glumac D

3 E. Lenjani D

20 O. Gürbulak M

11 O. Ayık M

39 A. Mršić M

14 D. Avounou M

28 Y. Del Valle M

27 A. Bettaieb F

Bench (10)

29 Geraldo

7 V. Gheorghe

5 I. Sackey

30 N. Gagnidze

10 M. Mimaroğlu

6 Y. Mertoğlu

18 U. Nayir

13 O. Özdemir

17 E. Nefiz

4 M. Eser

Coach: R. Uçar

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1

1 F. Muslera G

S. Boey D

V. Nelsson D

A. Bardakcı D

3 P. van Aanholt D

27 Sérgio Oliveira M

L. Torreira M

Y. Akgün M

23 E. Akbaba M

K. Aktürkoğlu M

9 H. Seferović F

Bench (10)

10 D. Mertens

54 E. Kılınç

18 B. Gomis

33 A. Cicâldău

53 B. Yılmaz

40 E. Bayram

14 O. Elabdellaoui

88 K. Karataş

34 O. Kocuk

22 B. Kutlu

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

4,22

🔒

3,74

🔒

B ✓

1,80

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

1,85

🔒

U2,5 ✓

1,95

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

14. Aug SL 4 years ago

8. Aug SL 4 years ago

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,5 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

Galatasaray

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee