La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Vallecano
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Osasuna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Valencia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Vallecano
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Almeria
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Girona
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Cadiz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 |
Valladolid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Getafe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Lecomte
G
Óscar Gil
D
Sergi Gómez
D
L. Cabrera
D
Edu Expósito
M
Vinicius Souza
M
Darder
M
Rubén Sánchez
F
Nico Melamed
F
Coach: Diego Martínez
S. Dimitrievski
G
I. Balliu
D
F. Lejeune
D
Catena
D
Fran García
D
Unai López
M
P. Ciss
M
Isi Palazón
M
Álvaro García
M
Sergio Camello
F
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Espanol
Granada
Espanol
Espanol
Valencia
Alaves
Espanol
Espanol
Osasuna
Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.