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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Legia
U S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
40%
25%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Legia 4. · Gornik Zabrze 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Stal Mielec 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Legia 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Cracovia 5 3 0 2 +4 9
6 Radomiak Radom 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Slask Wroclaw 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Korona Kielce 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Jagiellonia 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 0 2 +0 6
13 Warta Poznan 5 2 0 3 -4 6
14 Widzew Lodz 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Piast Gliwice 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Lechia Gdansk 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Legnica 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Gornik Zabrze
Igor Kharatin 🟨
26′
26′
A. Paluszek 0–1
E. Janža
30′
🔁 K. Kubica
↦ J. Kotzke
43′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ R. Dadok
Half-time 0–1
Filip Mladenović 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Aleksander Paluszek
R. Augustyniak 🔁
↦ M. Johansson
46′
B. Slisz 🔁
↦ I. Kharatin
46′
55′
P. Krawczyk 0–2
Carlitos López 🔁
↦ M. Baku
61′
70′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ P. Olkowski
70′
🔁 J. Szymański
↦ A. Paluszek
R. Pich 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
73′
Artur Jędrzejczyk ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
80′
81′
🟨 Richard Jensen
1–2 Josué
83′
85′
🟨 Jakub Szymanski
M. Rosołek 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
86′
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Richard Jensen
88′
🟥 Richard Jensen
2–2 L. Rose
F. Mladenović
92′
93′
🟨 Daniel Bielica
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
6 M. Johansson D
29 L. Rose D
25 F. Mladenović D
27 Josué M
14 I. Kharatin M
67 B. Kapustka M
20 E. Muçi F
13 P. Wszołek M
28 M. Baku M
Bench (9)
8 R. Augustyniak
99 B. Slisz
19 Carlitos López
11 R. Pich
39 M. Rosołek
18 P. Sokołowski
31 C. Miszta
86 I. Strzałek
5 Yuri Ribeiro

Coach: K. Runjaic

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bielica G
25 J. Kotzke M
26 R. Janicki D
16 P. Olkowski M
64 E. Janža M
3 R. Jensen D
96 R. Dadok F
4 A. Paluszek D
11 M. Cholewiak F
23 J. Jules M
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (9)
6 K. Kubica
20 S. Włodarczyk
15 N. Wojtuszek
77 J. Szymański
7 Dani Pacheco
22 D. Stalmach
10 Ł. Podolski
31 P. Sokół
17 R. Kamber

Coach: B. Gaul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.