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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Estoril

T S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Rio Ave

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Estoril 8. · Rio Ave 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Vizela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.