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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Hamburg
S T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hamburg 4. · Darmstadt 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 4 3 0 1 +7 9
2 Heidenheim 4 3 0 1 +6 9
3 Darmstadt 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Hamburg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Holstein Kiel 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Regensburg 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 St Pauli 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Kaiserslautern 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Sandhausen 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Hansa Rostock 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Hannover 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Nurnberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Karlsruhe 4 1 1 2 -5 4
15 Greuther Furth 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Magdeburg 4 1 0 3 -4 3
17 Bielefeld 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 Braunschweig 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Darmstadt
4′
P. Pfeiffer 0–1
T. Kempe
7′
P. Tietz 0–2
T. Kempe
30′
🟨 Klaus Gjasula
Half-time 0–2
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ M. Rohr
46′
Jonas Meffert 🟨
55′
A. Opoku 🔁
↦ M. Heyer
56′
58′
🟨 Klaus Gjasula
58′
🟥 Klaus Gjasula
Aaron Opoku 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Phillip Tietz
Robert Glatzel 🟨
62′
Aaron Opoku 🟥
64′
65′
🟨 Fabian Holland
66′
🔁 F. Ronstadt
↦ B. Manu
66′
🔁 O. Vilhelmsson
↦ P. Tietz
69′
🟨 Matthias Bader
L. Bénes 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
69′
F. Bilbija 🔁
↦ L. Reis
77′
B. Jatta 🔁
↦ M. Muheim
77′
85′
🔁 M. Warming
↦ F. Holland
85′
🔁 Y. Ben Balla
↦ M. Mehlem
1–2 R. Königsdörffer
R. Glatzel
87′
Ransford Königsdörffer 🟥
89′
91′
🔁 A. Seydel
↦ T. Kempe
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
44 M. Vušković D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
31 M. Rohr M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
9 R. Glatzel F
10 S. Kittel F
Bench (9)
27 J. Dompé
29 A. Opoku
8 L. Bénes
7 F. Bilbija
18 B. Jatta
41 O. Megeed
21 T. Leibold
19 M. Raab
34 J. David

Coach: T. Walter

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
5 P. Pfeiffer D
23 K. Gjasula D
20 J. Müller D
26 M. Bader M
8 F. Schnellhardt M
11 T. Kempe M
32 F. Holland M
6 M. Mehlem F
7 B. Manu F
9 P. Tietz F
Bench (8)
17 F. Ronstadt
29 O. Vilhelmsson
14 M. Warming
28 Y. Ben Balla
22 A. Seydel
42 F. Torsiello
30 A. Brunst
36 A. Leipold

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,69
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.