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Championship

Referee: J Linington

West Brom

U S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Burnley

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

23 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 14. · Burnley 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
2	Norwich	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+6	12
4	Watford	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Blackburn	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	Reading	7	4	0	3	-3	12
7	Bristol City	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Sunderland	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	QPR	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Preston	7	2	5	0	+2	11
11	Hull	7	3	2	2	-2	11
12	Rotherham	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Luton	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	West Brom	7	1	5	1	+2	8
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Cardiff	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Wigan	6	1	4	1	-3	7
19	Millwall	7	2	1	4	-4	7
20	Middlesbrough	7	1	3	3	-2	6
21	Swansea	7	1	3	3	-5	6
22	Birmingham	7	1	2	4	-4	5
23	Huddersfield	6	1	1	4	-3	4
24	Coventry	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Hull	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Watford	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Rotherham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	QPR	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Burnley	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	West Brom	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
15	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	+1	4
18	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Blackpool	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Preston	3	0	3	0	+0	3
21	Wigan	4	0	3	1	-4	3
22	Luton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-5	1
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	2	2	0	+2	8
2	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Burnley	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Norwich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Blackpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Watford	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Stoke	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Reading	4	1	0	3	-8	3
15	Bristol City	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Rotherham	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Hull	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Birmingham	3	0	1	2	-3	1
23	Millwall	4	0	1	3	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.