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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Heidenheim
S T S U U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 4. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 6 4 1 1 +12 13
2 Darmstadt 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Hamburg 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Heidenheim 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Holstein Kiel 6 3 2 1 +0 11
8 Karlsruhe 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Hansa Rostock 6 3 0 3 -3 9
11 St Pauli 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Regensburg 6 2 1 3 -6 7
14 Sandhausen 6 2 0 4 -2 6
15 Bielefeld 6 1 1 4 -4 4
16 Magdeburg 6 1 1 4 -8 4
17 Greuther Furth 6 0 3 3 -5 3
18 Braunschweig 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 A. Beck
T. Kleindienst
22′
Jan-Niklas Beste 🟨
28′
34′
🟨 Nicolas Gavory
38′
🔁 C. Klarer
↦ J. de Wijs
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ K. Peterson
59′
D. Kownacki 1–1
C. Klarer
T. Siersleben 🔁
↦ D. Thomalla
60′
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ J. Beste
60′
63′
🟨 Andre Hoffmann
65′
🔁 R. Hennings
↦ D. Ginczek
M. Rittmüller 🔁
↦ L. Maloney
76′
D. Burnić 🔁
↦ A. Beck
76′
76′
🔁 S. Appelkamp
↦ J. Hendrix
76′
🔁 T. Oberdorf
↦ F. Klaus
78′
🟨 Matthias Zimmermann
2–1 T. Kleindienst
87′
N. Theuerkauf 🔁
↦ K. Sessa
91′
96′
🟨 Christoph Klarer
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
33 L. Maloney D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
11 D. Thomalla M
3 J. Schöppner M
16 K. Sessa M
21 A. Beck M
37 J. Beste M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
4 T. Siersleben
9 S. Schimmer
18 M. Rittmüller
20 D. Burnić
30 N. Theuerkauf
34 P. Tschernuth
8 A. Geipl
24 C. Kühlwetter
17 F. Pick

Coach: F. Schmidt

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
31 M. Sobottka M
29 J. Hendrix M
11 F. Klaus M
9 D. Kownacki M
7 K. Peterson M
10 D. Ginczek F
Bench (9)
5 C. Klarer
4 A. Tanaka
28 R. Hennings
23 S. Appelkamp
15 T. Oberdorf
8 M. Karbownik
14 K. Baah
27 N. Ampomah
1 R. Wolf

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
3,40
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.