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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Benfica
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Vizela
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
28 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 10
7 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 1. · Vizela 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Sp Braga 4 3 1 0 +14 10
3 Porto 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Portimonense 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Estoril 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Chaves 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Casa Pia 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Guimaraes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Boavista 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Arouca 4 2 0 2 -8 6
11 Vizela 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Gil Vicente 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Sp Lisbon 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Rio Ave 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Famalicao 4 1 1 2 -4 4
16 Santa Clara 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 0 4 -8 0
18 Maritimo 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Vizela
20′
M. Osmajić 0–1
Kiko Bondoso
26′
🟨 Raphael Guzzo
Nicolás Otamendi 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Tomás Silva
46′
🔁 Ivanildo Fernandes
↦ Bruno Wilson
46′
🔁 Claudemir
↦ Raphael Guzzo
Enzo Fernández 🟨
51′
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
66′
P. Musa 🔁
↦ Florentino
67′
67′
🔁 A. Alvarado
↦ M. Osmajić
67′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ Nuno Moreira
A. Bah 🔁
↦ Gilberto
75′
1–1 David Neres
A. Bah
76′
80′
🔁 Diego Rosa
↦ Kiko Bondoso
João Mário 🟨
82′
Fredrik Aursnes 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Alex Méndez
Gonçalo Ramos 🟨
89′
Gonçalo Ramos 🟨
91′
Gonçalo Ramos 🟥
91′
Diogo Gonçalves 🔁
↦ David Neres
97′
99′
🟨 Diego Rosa
2–1 João Mário
102′
João Mário 🟨
103′
João Mário 🟥
103′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
13 E. Fernández M
61 Florentino M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
8 F. Aursnes
33 P. Musa
6 A. Bah
17 Diogo Gonçalves
55 Paulo Bernardo
77 Helton Leite
23 M. Ristić
22 Chiquinho
39 Henrique Araújo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Vizela

4-3-3
97 F. Buntić G
82 Tomás Silva D
3 Bruno Wilson D
5 Anderson D
24 Kiki D
19 A. Méndez M
8 Raphael Guzzo M
20 Samú M
10 Kiko Bondoso F
9 M. Osmajić F
79 Nuno Moreira F
Bench (9)
4 Ivanildo Fernandes
6 Claudemir
70 A. Alvarado
22 K. Zohi
17 Diego Rosa
29 A. Sarmiento
13 Luiz Felipe
23 Osama Rashid
14 Igor Julião

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
7,22
B
14,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.