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Ligue 2

Referee: B Lepaysant

Bastia

S S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Dijon

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 10

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 16. · Dijon 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	6	3	3	0	+5	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+7	11
3	Dijon	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Amiens	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Metz	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Sochaux	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Le Havre	6	2	3	1	+7	9
9	Valenciennes	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Grenoble	6	2	3	1	-1	9
11	Paris FC	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Laval	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Nimes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Bastia	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Niort	6	2	0	4	-6	6
18	Annecy	6	1	2	3	-1	5
19	Rodez	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Pau FC	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Amiens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Dijon	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Metz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Quevilly Rouen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Valenciennes	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+3	4
11	Sochaux	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Le Havre	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Bastia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Niort	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Annecy	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Laval	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Rodez	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Sochaux	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Laval	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Caen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Metz	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Annecy	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Dijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Rodez	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Amiens	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Paris FC	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Niort	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Bastia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Grenoble	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Nimes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.