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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Fenerbahce

S U S U S

5–4

Full-time

Karagumruk

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

29%

71%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,9

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 0

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 7. · Karagumruk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Ad. Demirspor	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Konyaspor	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Buyuksehyr	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Galatasaray	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
7	Fenerbahce	7	4	2	1	+14	14
8	Kayserispor	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	Gaziantep	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Kasimpasa	8	4	0	4	-7	12
11	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Giresunspor	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	İstanbulspor	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Ankaragücü	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Antalyaspor	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Hatayspor	8	2	1	5	-6	7
17	Karagumruk	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Sivasspor	8	0	4	4	-7	4
19	Ümraniyespor	9	0	3	6	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Buyuksehyr	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Besiktas	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Ad. Demirspor	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Konyaspor	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Kayserispor	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Kasimpasa	4	2	0	2	-5	6
11	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Sivasspor	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Hatayspor	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Giresunspor	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Ümraniyespor	5	0	1	4	-4	1
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+0	9
3	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Ad. Demirspor	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	İstanbulspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Kasimpasa	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Giresunspor	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Fenerbahce	3	1	1	1	+5	4
11	Kayserispor	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Hatayspor	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Antalyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Ankaragücü	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Ümraniyespor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Sivasspor	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.