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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Kasimpasa
S T S S U
1–4
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
22%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
23 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 9. · Ad. Demirspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 9 5 3 1 +7 18
2 Ad. Demirspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Konyaspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +15 17
5 Buyuksehyr 8 5 2 1 +8 17
6 Galatasaray 8 5 2 1 +4 17
7 Trabzonspor 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Kayserispor 9 4 1 4 +3 13
9 Kasimpasa 9 4 1 4 -7 13
10 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Karagumruk 9 2 3 4 -1 9
13 Giresunspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 İstanbulspor 8 2 2 4 -6 8
15 Ankaragücü 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Sivasspor 9 1 4 4 -5 7
17 Antalyaspor 9 2 1 6 -7 7
18 Hatayspor 9 2 1 6 -9 7
19 Ümraniyespor 9 0 3 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Ad. Demirspor
Mickael Tirpan 🟨
29′
32′
🟨 Samet Akaydın
37′
Y. Belhanda 0–1
B. Stambouli
40′
D. Akintola 0–2
Y. Belhanda
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Henry Onyekuru
1–2 S. Bahoken
56′
57′
🟨 Ertaç Özbir
63′
H. Onyekuru 1–3
Y. Belhanda
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ A. Kara
67′
R. Petretta 🔁
↦ B. Celina
67′
67′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ H. Onyekuru
67′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ S. Akaydin
A. Engin 🔁
↦ M. Fall
73′
78′
🔁 Y. Sarı
↦ E. Akbaba
86′
P. N'Diaye 1–4
F. Gulbrandsen
87′
🔁 Birkir Bjarnason
↦ Y. Belhanda
87′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ D. Akintola
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
5 J. Bruma D
18 S. Çiftpınar D
12 M. Ben Ouannes D
24 M. Tirpan M
7 M. Fall M
10 H. Hajradinović M
35 A. Kara M
59 B. Celina M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (10)
11 Y. Mallı
28 R. Petretta
17 A. Engin
81 T. Gemicibaşı
22 E. Canpolat
6 D. Graovac
99 A. Demirel
8 T. Torun
4 R. Donk
23 M. Yıldırım

Coach: Ş. Can

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
44 Y. Rakitskiy D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
20 E. Akbaba M
7 H. Onyekuru M
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
23 F. Gulbrandsen
4 S. Güler
26 Y. Sarı
8 Birkir Bjarnason
9 B. Assombalonga
39 V. Karakuş
88 G. İnler
24 A. Dzyuba
3 A. Dursun
16 İ. Çokçalış

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,53
B ✓
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.