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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
İstanbulspor
U S T T T
2–5
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
20%
70%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,5
3,9
Scored
0,8
2,9
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 2
7 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 18. · Fenerbahce 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 10 7 2 1 +19 23
2 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
3 Besiktas 12 6 4 2 +9 22
4 Galatasaray 11 6 3 2 +5 21
5 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
6 Buyuksehyr 10 6 2 2 +9 20
7 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
8 Kayserispor 12 6 2 4 +5 20
9 Alanyaspor 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Gaziantep 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Kasimpasa 12 4 2 6 -11 14
12 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
13 Ankaragücü 11 3 2 6 -5 11
14 Sivasspor 11 2 4 5 -3 10
15 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -6 10
16 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -7 9
18 İstanbulspor 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Ümraniyespor 11 0 3 8 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Fenerbahce
18′
M. Batshuayi-Atunga 0–1
36′
İ. Kahveci 0–2
E. Mor
Half-time 1–2
1–2 J. Topalli
48′
49′
M. Batshuayi-Atunga 1–3
İ. Kahveci
P. Ebert 🔁
↦ M. Yeşil
60′
64′
🟨 Serdar Aziz
66′
🔁 Lincoln
↦ E. Alioski
66′
🔁 E. Valencia
↦ João Pedro
66′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ E. Mor
2–3 J. Topalli
M. Sarıkaya
67′
76′
🔁 Miguel Crespo
↦ M. Zajc
Patrick Ebert 🟨
77′
E. Gültekin 🔁
↦ M. Sarıkaya
84′
86′
E. Valencia 2–4
M. Batshuayi-Atunga
88′
M. Batshuayi-Atunga 2–5
E. Valencia
90′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ İ. Kahveci
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

4-1-4-1
1 D. Jensen G
13 O. Berber D
4 M. Yeşil D
88 A. Mehremić D
66 A. Yaşar D
23 O. Erdoğan M
98 J. Topalli M
57 M. Kabasakal M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
27 V. Ethemi M
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
20 P. Ebert
19 E. Gültekin
11 A. Čajič
3 D. Aksu
61 S. Guri
77 K. Bağış
59 A. Arda
18 V. Temel
7 K. Abazaj
21 D. Duhaney

Coach: F. Tekke

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
4 S. Aziz D
41 A. Szalai D
6 E. Alioski D
17 İ. Kahveci M
5 Willian Arão M
26 M. Zajc M
99 E. Mor M
23 M. Batshuayi-Atunga F
20 João Pedro F
Bench (10)
18 Lincoln
13 E. Valencia
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
27 Miguel Crespo
80 İ. Yüksek
94 Y. Demir
70 İ. Eğribayat
15 J. King
10 A. Güler
19 S. Dursun

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,32
U
4,43
B ✓
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.