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Süper Lig

Referee: Ö Turtay

Ankaragücü

U U U T U

3–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,8

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

21%

37%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

37%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

63%

68%

Average goals

2,5

3,6

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,33 xG 1,47

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 14. · Kasimpasa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	19	16	2	1	+40	+34.9	50
2	Galatasaray	19	15	3	1	+26	+25.9	48
3	Trabzonspor	19	11	3	5	+13	-0.2	36
4	Besiktas	19	10	2	7	+4	+6.1	32
5	Ad. Demirspor	19	7	8	4	+9	-0.2	29
6	Kayserispor	19	8	5	6	-1	-3.5	29
7	Rizespor	19	8	5	6	-3	-3.9	29
8	Antalyaspor	19	7	7	5	+5	-0.1	28
9	Kasimpasa	19	7	5	7	-5	-6.6	26
10	Sivasspor	19	6	7	6	-5	-2.3	25
11	Buyuksehyr	19	6	5	8	+0	-1.7	23
12	Alanyaspor	19	5	7	7	-7	-0.6	22
13	Hatayspor	20	4	9	7	-1	+2.6	21
14	Ankaragücü	19	4	9	6	-1	-3.7	21
15	Gaziantep	19	6	3	10	-7	-7.1	21
16	Karagumruk	19	5	5	9	+2	-7.9	20
17	Samsunspor	19	5	3	11	-10	+3.9	18
18	Konyaspor	19	4	6	9	-13	-9.5	18
19	Pendikspor	20	3	7	10	-22	-8.2	16
20	İstanbulspor	19	2	3	14	-24	-17.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	9	0	0	+17	+17.2	27
2	Fenerbahce	10	8	1	1	+22	+19.6	25
3	Ad. Demirspor	10	7	2	1	+14	+3.9	23
4	Rizespor	10	6	2	2	+5	+3.3	20
5	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+6	+1.2	19
6	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
7	Antalyaspor	10	4	5	1	+3	-0.8	17
8	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.3	16
9	Karagumruk	10	4	3	3	+6	-1.9	15
10	Buyuksehyr	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.7	14
11	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.6	14
12	Samsunspor	9	4	2	3	+1	+2.7	14
13	Kasimpasa	10	4	2	4	-4	-4.6	14
14	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	+2.4	13
15	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
16	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	-1	+1.2	11
17	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-3	-4.5	11
18	Sivasspor	9	1	6	2	-2	+2.8	9
19	İstanbulspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-11.6	7
20	Pendikspor	9	1	3	5	-12	-6.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	8	1	0	+18	+15.3	25
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+9	+8.7	21
3	Trabzonspor	10	5	2	3	+7	-1.3	17
4	Besiktas	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.8	16
5	Sivasspor	10	5	1	4	-3	-5.1	16
6	Kasimpasa	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.0	12
7	Antalyaspor	9	3	2	4	+2	+0.7	11
8	Kayserispor	9	3	2	4	-6	-7.1	11
9	Ankaragücü	9	2	4	3	+0	-4.9	10
10	Gaziantep	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.6	10
11	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-10	-1.3	10
12	Buyuksehyr	10	2	3	5	-4	-2.3	9
13	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-7	-3.1	9
14	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
15	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
16	Konyaspor	10	1	4	5	-14	-10.5	7
17	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	6	3	-5	-4.1	6
18	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-4	-6.0	5
19	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	-11	+1.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	9	0	2	7	-12	-6.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.