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Süper Lig
Referee: E Kargın
Eyüpspor
S T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 59%
44%
73%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,6
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,40 xG 1,36
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 4. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 15 13 2 0 +24 +16.1 41
2 Fenerbahce 15 11 2 2 +25 +17.6 35
3 Samsunspor 15 9 2 4 +12 +8.6 29
4 Eyüpspor 16 7 5 4 +7 -2.8 26
5 Goztep 15 7 4 4 +7 +5.1 25
6 Besiktas 15 7 4 4 +7 +7.4 25
7 Buyuksehyr 15 6 4 5 +4 +3.9 22
8 Antalyaspor 15 6 3 6 -6 -8.5 21
9 Konyaspor 16 5 5 6 -5 -5.4 20
10 Rizespor 15 6 2 7 -6 +2.8 20
11 Kasimpasa 15 4 7 4 -1 +0.5 19
12 Gaziantep 15 5 3 7 -4 -4.3 18
13 Sivasspor 16 5 3 8 -7 -12.1 18
14 Alanyaspor 15 4 5 6 -3 +1.2 17
15 Trabzonspor 15 3 7 5 +1 -0.7 16
16 Kayserispor 15 3 6 6 -12 -6.9 15
17 Bodrumspor 15 4 2 9 -9 -5.8 14
18 Hatayspor 15 1 6 8 -11 -8.0 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 15 1 2 12 -23 -8.5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Fenerbahce
Emre Akbaba 🟨
13′
1–0 A. Kutucu
M. Thiam
26′
Ahmed Kutucu 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Robin Yalçın 🟨
49′
49′
Y. En-Nesyri 1–1
F. Kostić
Caner Erkin 🟨
50′
53′
🟨 Çağlar Söyüncü
U. Meraş 🔁
↦ C. Erkin
69′
P. Ampem 🔁
↦ H. Akbunar
69′
69′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ S. Szymański
69′
🔁 A. Saint-Maximin
↦ İ. Kahveci
72′
🟨 Allan Saint-Maximin
Dorukhan Toköz 🟨
73′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ D. Toköz
79′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ R. Yalçın
79′
82′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ Fred
82′
🔁 M. Müldür
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
82′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ D. Tadić
G. Bruno 🔁
↦ A. Kutucu
84′
Mame Thiam 🟨
88′
98′
🟨 Cengiz Ünder
98′
🟨 Youssef En-Nesyri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-1-4-1
1 B. Özer G
14 Rúben Vezo D
6 R. Yalçın D
4 Luccas Claro D
88 C. Erkin D
57 M. Kabasakal M
7 H. Akbunar M
8 E. Akbaba M
5 D. Toköz M
23 A. Kutucu M
9 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
77 U. Meraş
40 P. Ampem
66 E. Mor
75 T. Bingöl
99 G. Bruno
15 L. Dubois
71 B. Tetik
10 Samu Sáiz
17 H. Maldar
11 S. Gümüş

Coach: A. Turan

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 İ. Eğribayat G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
6 A. Djiku D
18 F. Kostić D
13 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
17 İ. Kahveci M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić M
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (10)
9 E. Džeko
97 A. Saint-Maximin
20 C. Ünder
16 M. Müldür
5 İ. Yüksek
3 S. Akaydin
95 Y. Akçiçek
22 L. Mercan
54 E. Çetin
23 C. Tosun

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,19
U ✓
4,45
B
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,47
U2,5 ✓
2,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Kargın · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.