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Coupe de France
Referee: S Frappart
Rouen
S U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Lille
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rouen Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%
10 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Troyes 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Annecy 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Dijon 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Haguenau 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Caen 2 2 0 0 +10 6
8 Guingamp 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Bourgoin-Jallieu 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Lorient 2 2 0 0 +7 6
11 Martigues 2 2 0 0 +7 6
12 Cannes 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Thaon 2 2 0 0 +6 6
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +6 6
16 Le Mans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Union Saint-Jean 2 2 0 0 +5 6
18 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
19 Clermont 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Drancy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 ASS Still Mutzig 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 Valenciennes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
25 RC Calais 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Hauts Lyonnais 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Boulogne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 RC Saint Joseph 3 2 0 1 -2 6
30 SA Mérignac 3 1 2 0 +6 5
31 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +6 4
32 La Roche VF 2 1 1 0 +6 4
33 Dives-Cabourg 2 1 1 0 +5 4
34 Bobigny 2 1 1 0 +4 4
35 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +4 4
36 Jura Sud Foot 2 1 1 0 +4 4
37 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +3 4
38 Orleans 2 1 1 0 +3 4
39 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +3 4
40 Saint-Denis 2 1 1 0 +3 4
41 Colmar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
42 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 1 0 +3 4
43 Tours 2 1 1 0 +3 4
44 Stade Briochin 2 1 1 0 +3 4
45 Concarneau 2 1 1 0 +2 4
46 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
47 Corte 2 1 1 0 +2 4
48 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +2 4
49 Quevilly Rouen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Beaumont Saint-Cyr 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 1 0 +1 4
52 Saint-Malo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
53 Chasselay MDA 3 1 1 1 +0 4
54 Rouen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
55 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Aubervilliers 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Versailles 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Aigles d'Or de Mana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Neuilly sur Marne 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Nancy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Istres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Laval 3 0 3 0 +0 3
64 Gallia Lucciana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Cluses-Scionzier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Beauvais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 La Roche sur Yon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
69 Calais Beau-Marais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
70 Les Herbiers 2 1 0 1 -1 3
71 Chambéry 2 1 0 1 -1 3
72 Ginglin Cesson 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Valence FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Olympique d'Alès 2 1 0 1 -2 3
75 Saint-Colomban Locminé 2 1 0 1 -2 3
76 Olympique de Valence 2 1 0 1 -2 3
77 Couzeix-Chaptelat 2 1 0 1 -2 3
78 Monnaie 2 1 0 1 -3 3
79 Bolbec 2 1 0 1 -5 3
80 Vierzon FC 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 USSA Vertou 2 0 2 0 +0 2
82 Hettange-Grande 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 TA Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Villefranche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Romorantin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Montagnarde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Saint-Lô Manche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Brétigny Foot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Raon l'Etape 2 0 1 1 -1 1
103 Le Touquet 2 0 1 1 -1 1
104 Liancourt Clermont 2 0 1 1 -1 1
105 Diables Noirs 2 0 1 1 -2 1
106 Dinan Léhon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
107 Cesson 2 0 1 1 -3 1
108 Noyelles sous Lens 2 0 1 1 -3 1
109 Lunéville 2 0 1 1 -4 1
110 Agde 2 0 1 1 -4 1
111 Dragon 2 0 1 1 -5 1
112 Roubaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Pays de Cassel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Vannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Saint-Cyr Collonges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Saint-Brieuc 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Maladrerie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Marboz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Blenod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Marignane 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Arles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Illkirch Graffenstaden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Sauveteurs Brivois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Lempdes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Stade Beaucairois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
136 Epinal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
137 Grandvillars 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 Sablé 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Gueugnon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Canet Roussillon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Foron 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 AC Paris 15 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Anduzien 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Fief-Gesté 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Arras 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Comtal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Grau-du-Roi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Bressuire 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Etoile Matoury 2 0 0 2 -3 0
156 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
157 Jeunesse Evolution 1 0 0 1 -3 0
158 Niort 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Paimpol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Thouars 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Nousseviller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Boulay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Avenir Mourenxois 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
168 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
169 Cannet Rocheville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
170 Guéreins Genouilleux 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 St-Just St-Rambert 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Valdahon Vercel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 ETC Anstaing Chéreng 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Labourse 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Montferrand 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Vesoul 1 0 0 1 -5 0
177 Serquigny Nassandres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Raismes 1 0 0 1 -5 0
179 Allobroges Asafia 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
181 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0
182 Olympique Cazaux 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rouen Lille
22′
Ismaily 0–1
J. David
34′
🟨 M. Bakker
C. Mbondi 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
J. Mbock 🟨
46′
D. Goprou 🟨
55′
D. Diarra 🔁
↦ M. Abdelmoula
72′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ C. Mbondi
72′
74′
🔁 Alexsandro Ribeiro
↦ M. Bakker
74′
🔁 H. Haraldsson
↦ T. Meunier
79′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ Ismaily
79′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ O. Sahraoui
N. Bensoula 🔁
↦ O. Bezzekhami
87′
M. Benzia 🟥
94′
R. Brouard 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rouen

1 A. Maraval G
11 J. Mbock D
2 D. Goprou D
4 V. Sanson D
5 C. Bassin D
3 M. Mion D
7 M. Abdelmoula M
6 M. Benzia M
8 O. Bezzekhami M
10 H. Benkaïd F
9 C. Mbondi F
Bench (9)
20 D. Diarra
17 A. Touré
19 N. Bensoula
15 F. Deschamps
14 R. Kabongo
13 P. Lehoux
16 L. Royes
18 S. El Khiar
12 Adon Gomis

Coach: M. D'Ornano

Lille

1 V. Mannone G
3 T. Meunier D
4 B. Diakité D
2 A. Mandi D
6 Ismaily D
8 N. Mukau M
7 A. Bouaddi M
5 M. Bakker M
10 R. Cabella M
11 O. Sahraoui M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
14 Alexsandro Ribeiro
17 H. Haraldsson
15 G. Gudmundsson
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
12 A. Malouda
20 M. Bayo
18 L. Chevalier
13 O. Touré
16 M. Caillard

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.