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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Eyüpspor
U S S T U
3–0
Full-time
Samsunspor
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
43%
64%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
43%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 1,64
58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 6. · Samsunspor 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 13 11 2 0 +22 +14.2 35
2 Fenerbahce 14 10 2 2 +23 +17.1 32
3 Samsunspor 14 9 2 3 +15 +8.8 29
4 Besiktas 14 7 4 3 +8 +6.8 25
5 Goztep 14 7 3 4 +7 +4.5 24
6 Eyüpspor 14 6 5 3 +6 -2.6 23
7 Buyuksehyr 13 5 4 4 +3 +2.2 19
8 Konyaspor 15 5 4 6 -5 -3.4 19
9 Rizespor 13 6 1 6 -5 +0.8 19
10 Sivasspor 14 5 3 6 -4 -10.3 18
11 Antalyaspor 14 5 3 6 -8 -8.8 18
12 Trabzonspor 14 3 7 4 +2 +0.4 16
13 Kasimpasa 14 3 7 4 -3 +0.1 16
14 Gaziantep 13 4 3 6 -2 -2.8 15
15 Alanyaspor 13 3 5 5 -4 +1.0 14
16 Kayserispor 13 2 6 5 -12 -7.9 12
17 Bodrumspor 14 3 2 9 -11 -6.9 11
18 Hatayspor 13 1 5 7 -8 -5.3 8
19 Ad. Demirspor 14 0 2 12 -24 -7.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Samsunspor
Emre Akbaba 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–0
Robin Yalçın 🟨
46′
53′
🟨 Youssef Aït Bennasser
1–0 M. Thiam
R. Yalçın
54′
2–0 H. Akbunar
T. Bingöl
64′
3–0 M. Thiam
C. Erkin
69′
76′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
77′
🔁 S. Aydoğdu
↦ O. Ntcham
77′
🔁 S. Gönül
↦ M. Bola
80′
🟨 Emre Kılınç
Samu Sáiz 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
83′
S. Gümüş 🔁
↦ H. Akbunar
83′
83′
🔁 A. Muja
↦ E. Kılınç
83′
🔁 K. Schindler
↦ Z. Yavru
U. Meraş 🔁
↦ T. Bingöl
87′
G. Bruno 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
90′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ A. Kutucu
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-4-2
1 B. Özer G
75 T. Bingöl D
6 R. Yalçın D
4 Luccas Claro D
88 C. Erkin D
7 H. Akbunar M
8 E. Akbaba M
57 M. Kabasakal M
40 P. Ampem M
9 M. Thiam F
23 A. Kutucu F
Bench (10)
10 Samu Sáiz
11 S. Gümüş
77 U. Meraş
99 G. Bruno
5 D. Toköz
17 H. Maldar
14 Rúben Vezo
66 E. Mor
15 L. Dubois
71 B. Tetik

Coach: A. Turan

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
4 R. van Drongelen D
16 M. Bola D
6 Y. Bennasser M
10 O. Ntcham M
11 E. Kılınç M
21 C. Holse M
14 L. Dimata M
9 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (10)
29 E. Kara
8 S. Aydoğdu
28 S. Gönül
7 A. Muja
17 K. Schindler
45 H. Yeral
55 Y. Çift
13 F. Tait
66 A. Tarkan
96 B. Çetin

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,87
U
3,23
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.