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2. Bundesliga
Referee: E Weisbach
Elversberg
S S T S S
1–4
Full-time
Schalke 04
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
56%
69%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 1. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elversberg 16 8 4 4 +12 28
2 FC Koln 16 8 4 4 +8 28
3 Paderborn 16 7 7 2 +6 28
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 7 5 4 +8 26
5 Hannover 16 8 2 6 +5 26
6 Kaiserslautern 16 7 5 4 +4 26
7 Karlsruhe 16 7 5 4 +2 26
8 Hamburg 16 6 7 3 +11 25
9 Magdeburg 16 6 7 3 +3 25
10 Darmstadt 16 6 6 4 +8 24
11 Hertha 16 6 3 7 +0 21
12 Greuther Furth 16 5 5 6 -4 20
13 Nurnberg 16 5 4 7 +0 19
14 Schalke 04 16 4 5 7 -4 17
15 Preußen Münster 16 3 6 7 -5 15
16 Ulm 16 2 7 7 -4 13
17 Braunschweig 16 3 4 9 -19 13
18 Regensburg 16 2 2 12 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Schalke 04
Tim Boss 🟨
-5′
11′
K. Karaman 0–1
14′
🟨 Derry Murkin
1–1 C. Sickinger
T. Zimmerschied
25′
Half-time 1–2
55′
M. Sylla 1–2
D. Murkin
61′
🔁 T. Kalas
↦ J. Bachmann
67′
R. Schallenberg 1–3
K. Karaman
F. Gerezgiher 🔁
↦ T. Zimmerschied
68′
70′
🔁 A. Donkor
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
70′
🔁 A. Gantenbein
↦ M. Aydın
L. Schnellbacher 🔁
↦ F. Schmahl
74′
75′
M. Sylla 1–4
A. Gantenbein
79′
🔁 I. Hamache
↦ D. Murkin
80′
🔁 E. Højlund
↦ K. Karaman
Lukas Finn Pinckert 🟨
81′
Elias Baum 🟨
83′
M. Feil 🔁
↦ L. Petkov
84′
P. Stock 🔁
↦ M. Damar
84′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Neubauer D
23 C. Sickinger M
17 F. Schmahl M
25 L. Petkov M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
27 F. Gerezgiher
24 L. Schnellbacher
7 M. Feil
21 P. Stock
3 F. Le Joncour
26 A. Sicker
28 T. Boss
11 L. Dürholtz
18 M. Mahmoud

Coach: H. Steffen

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
31 T. Bulut D
6 R. Schallenberg D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
37 M. Grüger M
14 J. Bachmann M
23 M. Aydın M
19 K. Karaman M
18 C. Antwi-Adjei M
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
26 T. Kalas
30 A. Donkor
17 A. Gantenbein
24 I. Hamache
15 E. Højlund
2 F. Sánchez
1 R. Hoffmann
11 B. Lasme
34 M. Langer

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,70
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Weisbach · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.