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Coupe de France

Referee: C Turpin

Troyes

S U S T S

3–0

Full-time

Metz

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Coupe de France · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 26. · Metz 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Bourgoin-Jallieu	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Martigues	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Cannes	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Bastia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Thaon	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Boulogne	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Le Mans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Union Saint-Jean	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Drancy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
19	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	2	2	0	0	+4	6
23	Valenciennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	RC Saint Joseph	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	RC Calais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
26	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Hauts Lyonnais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
29	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
30	SA Mérignac	2	1	1	0	+6	4
31	Dives-Cabourg	2	1	1	0	+5	4
32	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+5	4
33	Bobigny	2	1	1	0	+4	4
34	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+4	4
35	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+4	4
36	Marmande	2	1	1	0	+3	4
37	Orleans	2	1	1	0	+3	4
38	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
39	Saint-Denis	2	1	1	0	+3	4
40	Colmar	2	1	1	0	+3	4
41	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
42	Tours	2	1	1	0	+3	4
43	Stade Briochin	2	1	1	0	+3	4
44	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
45	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
46	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
47	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
48	Chasselay MDA	2	1	1	0	+1	4
49	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
50	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	2	1	1	0	+1	4
51	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
52	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
53	Haguenau	2	1	1	0	+1	4
54	Rouen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
55	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	+2	3
56	Aubervilliers	2	1	0	1	+2	3
57	Versailles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
58	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Gallia Lucciana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Cluses-Scionzier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Carnoux	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Beauvais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	La Roche sur Yon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
68	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
69	Les Herbiers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
70	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
71	Ginglin Cesson	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Valence FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Olympique d'Alès	2	1	0	1	-2	3
74	Saint-Colomban Locminé	2	1	0	1	-2	3
75	Olympique de Valence	2	1	0	1	-2	3
76	Couzeix-Chaptelat	2	1	0	1	-2	3
77	Monnaie	2	1	0	1	-3	3
78	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
79	Vierzon FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
81	USSA Vertou	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
103	Le Touquet	2	0	1	1	-1	1
104	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
105	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
106	Dinan Léhon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
107	Cesson	2	0	1	1	-3	1
108	Noyelles sous Lens	2	0	1	1	-3	1
109	Lunéville	2	0	1	1	-4	1
110	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
111	Dragon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
112	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
136	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Etoile Matoury	2	0	0	2	-3	0
156	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
157	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
158	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
168	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
169	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
181	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
182	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Dives-Cabourg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Tours	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Ginglin Cesson	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Valence FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Olympique d'Alès	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Couzeix-Chaptelat	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Marmande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Orleans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	SA Mérignac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Colmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
59	Le Touquet	2	0	1	1	-1	1
60	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
62	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Cluses-Scionzier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Carnoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	La Roche sur Yon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Lunéville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Monnaie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Martigues	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Cannes	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Thaon	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	RC Calais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Hauts Lyonnais	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
16	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
17	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+5	4
18	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Chasselay MDA	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Haguenau	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
27	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
35	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
37	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Stade Briochin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
41	Rouen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
42	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+3	3
44	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
45	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
46	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
50	Versailles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	Vierzon FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
59	USSA Vertou	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Les Herbiers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Olympique de Valence	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Cesson	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Dragon	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.