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Süper Lig
Referee: M Turkmen
Alanyaspor
T U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
21%
68%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
57%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
64%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,70
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 11. · Trabzonspor 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 21 4 3 +45 +28.7 67
2 Fenerbahce 28 18 9 1 +34 +29.1 63
3 Trabzonspor 28 19 6 3 +25 +7.6 63
4 Besiktas 29 16 7 6 +19 +24.6 55
5 Buyuksehyr 29 13 8 8 +17 +6.0 47
6 Goztep 28 12 10 6 +10 +7.2 46
7 Samsunspor 28 8 12 8 -5 +6.7 36
8 Kocaelispor 28 9 7 12 -9 -2.9 34
9 Gaziantep 28 8 10 10 -10 -3.5 34
10 Rizespor 28 8 9 11 -2 +0.6 33
11 Alanyaspor 28 6 14 8 +1 -7.9 32
12 Konyaspor 28 7 10 11 -8 -1.4 31
13 Antalyaspor 29 7 7 15 -17 -21.5 28
14 Kasimpasa 28 6 9 13 -13 -11.4 27
15 Genclerbirligi 29 6 7 16 -14 -17.3 25
16 Kayserispor 28 4 11 13 -29 -12.0 23
17 Eyüpspor 28 5 7 16 -22 -18.6 22
18 Karagumruk 28 5 5 18 -22 -14.1 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Trabzonspor
Half-time 0–1
58′
O. Tufan 0–1
W. Pina
Güven Yalçın ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
1–1 G. Yalcin
67′
Maestro 🔁
↦ G. Makouta
68′
I. Kaya 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
68′
I. Celik 🔁
↦ E. Keskin
68′
Nicolas Janvier 🟨
70′
71′
🟨 Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
77′
🔁 U. Nayir
↦ O. Tufan
S. Mounie 🔁
↦ G. Yalcin
81′
84′
🔁 M. Lovik
↦ A. Nwakaeme
F. Aksoy 🔁
↦ N. Janvier
88′
89′
🔁 B. Bouchouari
↦ Felipe Augusto
Ümit Akdağ 🟨
93′
Fatih Aksoy 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-3
48 Paulo Victor G
3 N. Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
50 U. Akdag D
8 E. Keskin M
17 N. Janvier M
42 G. Makouta M
11 Ruan M
7 E. Karaca F
10 G. Yalcin F
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (10)
1 E. Taskiran
30 Bruno Viana
58 Maestro
27 I. Kaya
18 B. Mogultay
6 I. Celik
9 S. Mounie
20 F. Aksoy
25 B. Bulut
2 B. Yavuz

Coach: Joao Pereira

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
20 W. Pina D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
15 S. Savic D
19 M. Eskihellac D
42 C. Inao Oulai M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
22 O. Zubkov M
11 O. Tufan M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
99 Felipe Augusto F
Bench (10)
88 A. Yildirim
25 O. Cevikkan
5 O. Yokuslu
18 U. Nayir
8 B. Bouchouari
80 B. Baskan
92 T. E. Ince
14 M. Lovik
74 S. Malkocoglu
17 O. Cakiroglu

Coach: Fatih Tekke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U ✓
3,32
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Turkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.