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Super League
Referee: G Tassis
AEK
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · OFI Crete 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 26 20 6 0 +44 66
2 PAOK 26 18 5 3 +26 59
3 AEK 26 15 6 5 +18 51
4 Panathinaikos 27 11 9 7 +5 42
5 OFI Crete 26 10 5 11 +2 35
6 Aris 25 8 10 7 +7 34
7 Aris Thessalonikis 25 8 10 7 +7 34
8 Asteras Tripolis 27 8 7 12 -2 31
9 Larisa 27 7 10 10 -7 31
10 Atromitos 26 8 6 12 -6 30
11 Volos NFC 27 8 6 13 -19 30
12 Lamia 27 5 14 8 -11 29
13 Xanthi 27 8 5 14 -13 29
14 Panetolikos 27 4 8 15 -20 20
15 Panionios 27 4 5 18 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -19 OFI Crete – AEK 1–0

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
1–0 P. Mandalos ⚽
M. Livaja
5′
2–0 D. Verde ⚽
M. Bakakis
8′
Marko Livaja 🟨
27′
27′
🟨 Ricardo Vaz
3–0 D. Verde ⚽
Nélson Oliveira
29′
Half-time 3–0
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ Nélson Oliveira
67′
67′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ M. Mellado
67′
🔁 A. Nabi
↦ Ricardo Vaz
Paulinho 🔁
↦ M. Bakakis
77′
André Simões 🔁
↦ P. Mandalos
81′
85′
🔁 N. Marinakis
↦ C. Braun
Marko Livaja 🟨
90′
Marko Livaja 🟥
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
16 P. Tsintotas G
23 N. Hult D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
4 M. Oikonomou D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
5 D. Szymański M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
7 D. Verde F
Bench (7)
11 S. Araújo
27 Paulinho
8 André Simões
30 G. Athanasiadis
15 Ž. Laci
14 C. Albanis
44 A. Šabanadžović

Coach: M. Carrera

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
18 K. Giannoulis D
5 G. Koutroumbis D
47 C. Braun D
12 João Victor M
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
19 K. Tsilianidis F
11 Lisandro Semedo F
21 Ricardo Vaz M
20 João Figueiredo F
Bench (7)
8 J. Neira
10 A. Nabi
16 N. Marinakis
1 Óscar Whalley
9 D. Manos
26 P. Staikos
6 A. Nastos

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,19
B
8,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.