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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Vitesse
S U U T S
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 50%
48%
52%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
65%
70%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · PSV Eindhoven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +46 53
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 15 2 5 +29 47
3 Feyenoord 23 13 7 3 +13 46
4 PSV Eindhoven 23 12 6 5 +24 42
5 Willem II 24 12 5 7 +3 41
6 Utrecht 23 11 5 7 +13 38
7 Vitesse 23 11 5 7 +11 38
8 Groningen 24 10 5 9 +4 35
9 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 +1 30
10 Sparta Rotterdam 24 8 6 10 -4 30
11 Heracles 23 8 5 10 +3 29
12 FC Emmen 24 8 5 11 -12 29
13 Twente 24 7 6 11 -10 27
14 VVV Venlo 24 8 3 13 -24 27
15 For Sittard 24 6 6 12 -23 24
16 Zwolle 23 6 4 13 -17 22
17 Den Haag 24 4 6 14 -25 18
18 Waalwijk 24 3 3 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
33′
34′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ J. Hendrix
Armando Obispo 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Matavž
50′
59′
S. Lammers 1–1
63′
C. Gakpo 1–2
P. Rosario
70′
🔁 Bruma
↦ C. Gakpo
M. Clark 🔁
↦ J. Brenet
75′
J. Grot 🔁
↦ A. Obispo
87′
87′
🔁 R. Doan
↦ M. Ihattaren
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
17 E. Dasa D
28 J. Brenet D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
20 N. Dicko F
14 O. Tannane M
Bench (10)
29 T. Buitink
5 M. Clark
7 J. Grot
32 Ö. Aktas
37 Y. Oukili
18 T. Hajek
40 B. Bayazit
1 K. Lamprou
36 P. Vroegh
2 J. Lelieveld

Coach: E. Sturing

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
13 L. Unnerstall G
6 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
68 R. Rodríguez D
22 D. Dumfries D
30 R. Thomas M
8 J. Hendrix M
18 P. Rosario M
24 M. Ihattaren F
14 S. Lammers F
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (11)
15 É. Gutiérrez
7 Bruma
25 R. Doan
56 C. Madueke
33 J. Teze
17 I. Afellay
28 O. Boscagli
11 K. Mitroglou
5 T. Baumgartl
31 Y. van Osch
21 R. Ruiter

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,60
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.