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Premier League

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Arsenal

U U U U S

3–2

Full-time

Everton

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

27%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

65%

62%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 11. · Everton 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	26	25	1	0	+46	76
2	Man City	27	18	3	6	+39	57
3	Leicester	27	15	5	7	+27	50
4	Chelsea	27	13	5	9	+8	44
5	Man United	27	11	8	8	+12	41
6	Tottenham	27	11	7	9	+8	40
7	Sheffield United	27	10	10	7	+4	40
8	Wolves	27	9	12	6	+6	39
9	Burnley	27	11	4	12	-6	37
10	Everton	26	10	6	10	-4	36
11	Arsenal	26	7	13	6	+2	34
12	Southampton	27	10	4	13	-14	34
13	Crystal Palace	27	8	9	10	-8	33
14	Newcastle	27	8	7	12	-17	31
15	Brighton	27	6	10	11	-7	28
16	Bournemouth	27	7	5	15	-17	26
17	Aston Villa	27	7	4	16	-18	25
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	-15	24
19	Watford	27	5	9	13	-19	24
20	Norwich	27	4	6	17	-27	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	13	13	0	0	+26	39
2	Man City	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Leicester	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Man United	14	7	5	2	+15	26
5	Tottenham	13	8	2	3	+13	26
6	Everton	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Burnley	14	7	1	6	+1	22
8	Wolves	14	5	6	3	+4	21
9	Chelsea	14	6	3	5	+3	21
10	Sheffield United	14	6	3	5	+3	21
11	Arsenal	13	5	5	3	+4	20
12	Newcastle	13	5	5	3	+0	20
13	Crystal Palace	14	5	4	5	-2	19
14	Brighton	13	4	6	3	+3	18
15	Aston Villa	13	5	2	6	-6	17
16	Bournemouth	13	4	4	5	-4	16
17	Watford	13	3	5	5	-4	14
18	Southampton	14	4	2	8	-14	14
19	West Ham	13	3	3	7	-5	12
20	Norwich	13	3	3	7	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	13	12	1	0	+20	37
2	Man City	14	9	1	4	+18	28
3	Leicester	13	7	2	4	+16	23
4	Chelsea	13	7	2	4	+5	23
5	Southampton	13	6	2	5	+0	20
6	Sheffield United	13	4	7	2	+1	19
7	Wolves	13	4	6	3	+2	18
8	Man United	13	4	3	6	-3	15
9	Burnley	13	4	3	6	-7	15
10	Arsenal	13	2	8	3	-2	14
11	Tottenham	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Crystal Palace	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Everton	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	West Ham	13	3	3	7	-10	12
15	Newcastle	14	3	2	9	-17	11
16	Brighton	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	Bournemouth	14	3	1	10	-13	10
18	Watford	14	2	4	8	-15	10
19	Aston Villa	14	2	2	10	-12	8
20	Norwich	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.